Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34903657›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2021

Global monitoring of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic through online surveys sampled from the Facebook user base.

Christina M Astley, Gaurav Tuli, Kimberly A Mc Cord, Emily L Cohn, Benjamin Rader, Tanner J Varrelman, Samantha L Chiu, Xiaoyi Deng, Kathleen Stewart, Tamer H Farag and 5 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 36 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 68 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. Innovations in public health surveillance: An overview of novel use of data and analytic methods.Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Christina M AstleyDivision of Endocrinology, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA 02115; christina.astley@childrens.harvard.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-5063-8470
Gaurav TuliComputational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA 02115.ORCID 0000-0002-5626-7463
Kimberly A Mc CordComputational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA 02115.
Emily L CohnComputational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA 02115.
Benjamin RaderComputational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA 02115.ORCID 0000-0002-6095-0193
Tanner J VarrelmanComputational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA 02115.
Samantha L ChiuJoint Program in Survey Methodology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742.
Xiaoyi DengJoint Program in Survey Methodology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742.ORCID 0000-0002-6864-9952
Kathleen StewartCenter for Geospatial Information Science, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742.
Tamer H FaragMeta, Menlo Park, CA 94025.ORCID 0000-0003-1826-6600
Kristina M BarkumeMeta, Menlo Park, CA 94025.ORCID 0000-0002-1592-6880
Sarah LaRoccaMeta, Menlo Park, CA 94025.
Katherine A MorrisMeta, Menlo Park, CA 94025.
Frauke KreuterJoint Program in Survey Methodology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742.ORCID 0000-0002-7339-2645
John S BrownsteinComputational Epidemiology Lab, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA 02115.
Boston Children's Hospital · USMenlo School · USUniversity of Maryland, College Park · USBoston University · USBroad Institute · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Simultaneously tracking the global impact of COVID-19 is challenging because of regional variation in resources and reporting. Leveraging self-reported survey outcomes via an existing international social media network has the potential to provide standardized data streams to support monitoring and decision-making worldwide, in real time, and with limited local resources. The University of Maryland Global COVID-19 Trends and Impact Survey (UMD-CTIS), in partnership with Facebook, has invited daily cross-sectional samples from the social media platform's active users to participate in the survey since its launch on April 23, 2020. We analyzed UMD-CTIS survey data through December 20, 2020, from 31,142,582 responses representing 114 countries/territories weighted for nonresponse and adjusted to basic demographics. We show consistent respondent demographics over time for many countries/territories. Machine Learning models trained on national and pooled global data verified known symptom indicators. COVID-like illness (CLI) signals were correlated with government benchmark data. Importantly, the best benchmarked UMD-CTIS signal uses a single survey item whereby respondents report on CLI in their local community. In regions with strained health infrastructure but active social media users, we show it is possible to define COVID-19 impact trajectories using a remote platform independent of local government resources. This syndromic surveillance public health tool is the largest global health survey to date and, with brief participant engagement, can provide meaningful, timely insights into the global COVID-19 pandemic at a local scale.

Indexed as

Social MediaCOVID-19COVID-19 TestingCross-Sectional StudiesEpidemiologic MethodsHumansInternationalityMachine LearningPandemicsPublic Health SurveillanceCOVID-19 surveillanceglobal healthhuman social sensingSARS-CoV-2 testing

Identifiers

PMID34903657
PMCPMC8713788
OpenAlexW4200438203

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.