Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34896166›Full record

ArticleJournal of theoretical biology2022

A behavioural modelling approach to assess the impact of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy.

Bruno Buonomo, Rossella Della Marca, Alberto d'Onofrio, Maria Groppi

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of theoretical biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.2field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 52 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Bruno BuonomoDepartment of Mathematics and Applications, University of Naples Federico II, via Cintia, I-80126 Naples, Italy. Electronic address: buonomo@unina.it.
Rossella Della MarcaDepartment of Mathematics and Applications, University of Naples Federico II, via Cintia, I-80126 Naples, Italy. Electronic address: rossella.dellamarca@unina.it.
Alberto d'Onofrio37 Quai du Docteur Gailleton, 69002 Lyon, France. Electronic address: adonofrio1967@gmail.com.
Maria GroppiDepartment of Mathematical, Physical and Computer Sciences, University of Parma, Parco Area delle Scienze 53/A, 43124 Parma, Italy. Electronic address: maria.groppi@unipr.it.
University of Naples Federico II · ITCommunauté urbaine de Lyon · FRUniversity of Parma · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We introduce a compartmental epidemic model to describe the spread of COVID-19 within a population, assuming that a vaccine is available, but vaccination is not mandatory. The model takes into account vaccine hesitancy and the refusal of vaccination by individuals, which take their decision on vaccination based on both the present and past information about the spread of the disease. Theoretical analysis and simulations show that voluntary vaccination can certainly reduce the impact of the disease but is unable to eliminate it. We also demonstrate how the information-related parameters affect the dynamics of the disease. In particular, vaccine hesitancy and refusal are better contained in case of widespread information coverage and short-term memory. Finally, the possible impact of seasonality on the spread of the disease is investigated.

Indexed as

COVID-19VaccinesCOVID-19 VaccinesHumansSARS-CoV-2VaccinationVaccination HesitancyCOVID-19 VaccinesVaccinesHuman behaviourInfectious diseaseSeasonalityStabilityVaccination

Identifiers

PMID34896166
PMCPMC8651553
OpenAlexW3175385222

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.