ArticlePublic health nutrition2022
Potential impacts of policies to reduce purchasing of ultra-processed foods in Mexico at different stages of the social transition: an agent-based modelling approach.
Article in Public health nutrition, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Agent-Based Modelling of Health Inequalities following the Complexity Turn in Public Health: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Pooled it
- The Gut-brain-adipose Axis in Ultra-processed Food and Obesity: A Mechanistic Synthesis and Its Implications for Food Classification.Current obesity reports · 2026Review
- Evaluating select factors and mechanisms influencing meat consumption in Baltimore City: an agent-based modeling study.BMC public health · 2026Article
- The "pro-inflammatory imprint" of ultra-processed food exposure: a review of mechanisms affecting child and adolescent health and development via the gut microbiome-inflammation axis.Frontiers in nutrition · 2026Review
- The politics of processed foods: Consumer perceptions of policies targeting ultra-processed foods.PloS one · 2026Article
- Advancing equitable and sustainable urban health.Nature medicine · 2025Review
- Review
- Reformulation of ultra-processed products in Colombia after the introduction of public health regulations.BMC medicine · 2025Observational
- Adaptive behaviour during epidemics: a social risk appraisal approach to modelling dynamics.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2025Article
- Acceptability patterns of hypothetic taxes on different types of foods in France.Public health nutrition · 2024Article
- Research Translation to Promote Urban Health in Latin America: The SALURBAL Experience.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2024Article
- Urban Environments, Health, and Environmental Sustainability: Findings From the SALURBAL Study.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2024Review
- Understanding the obesity dynamics by socioeconomic status in Colombian and Mexican cities using a system dynamics model.Heliyon · 2024Article
- How does habit strength affect reactions to warning labels? evidence from Chinese consumers' choices of carbonated beverages.PloS one · 2024Article
- Flavour, emulsifiers and colour are the most frequent markers to detect food ultra-processing in a UK food market analysis.Public health nutrition · 2023Article
- A systematic scoping review evaluating sugar-sweetened beverage taxation from a systems perspective.Nature food · 2023Article
- Harnessing the connectivity of climate change, food systems and diets: Taking action to improve human and planetary health.Anthropocene · 2023Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
objectivesTo develop a simulation framework for assessing how combinations of taxes, nutrition warning labels and advertising levels could affect purchasing of ultra-processed foods (UPF) in Latin American countries and to understand whether policies reinforce or reduce pre-existing social disparities in UPF consumption.
designWe developed an agent-based simulation model using international evidence regarding the effect of price, nutrition warning labels and advertising on UPF purchasing.
settingWe estimated policy effects in scenarios representing two stages of the 'social transition' in UPF purchasing: (1) a pre-transition scenario, where UPF purchasing is higher among high-income households, similar to patterns in Mexico; and (2) a post-transition scenario where UPF purchasing is highest among low-income households, similar to patterns in Chile.
participantsA population of 1000 individual agents with levels of age, income, educational attainment and UPF purchasing similar to adult women in Mexico.
resultsA 20 % tax would decrease purchasing by 24 % relative to baseline in both the pre- and post-transition scenarios, an effect that is similar in magnitude to that of a nutrition warning label policy. A 50 % advertising increase or decrease had a comparatively small effect. Nutrition warning labels were most effective among those with higher levels of educational attainment. Labelling reduced inequities in the pre-transition scenario (i.e. highest UPF purchasing among the highest socio-economic group) but widened inequities in the post-transition scenario.
conclusionsEffective policy levers are available to reduce UPF purchasing, but policymakers should anticipate that equity impacts will differ depending on existing social patterns in UPF purchasing.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.