Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34890899›Full record

ArticleEnvironment international2022

Current and future burdens of heat-related dementia hospital admissions in England.

Jessica Gong, Cherie Part, Shakoor Hajat

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environment international, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Pooled it
  4. A Systematic Literature Review of the Impact of Climate Change on the Global Demand for Psychiatric Services.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Pooled it
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  15. The correlation between high temperature and cognitive function: a CHARLS 2018 cross-sectional study.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2025
    Article
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  20. Dementia and Risks of Temperature-Related Mortality and Hospitalizations in Germany.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Jessica GongThe George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia. Electronic address: jgong@georgeinstitute.org.au.
Cherie PartCentre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Shakoor HajatCentre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Funding

Department of Health NIHR200909
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe impacts of a changing climate on current and future dementia burdens have not been widely explored.

methodsTime-series negative binomial regression analysis was used to assess acute associations between daily ambient temperature and counts of emergency admissions for dementia in each Government region of England, adjusting for season and day-of-week. Using the latest climate and dementia projections data, we then estimate future heat-related dementia burdens under a high emission scenario (Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP8.5), where global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions continue to rise, and a low emissions scenario (RCP2.6), where GHG emissions are sizeably reduced under a strong global mitigation policy.

resultsA raised risk associated with high temperatures was observed in all regions. Nationally, a 4.5% (95% Confidence interval (CI) 2.9%-6.1%) increase in risk of dementia admission was observed for every 1 °C increase in temperature above 17 °C associated with current climate. Under a high emissions scenario, heat-related admissions are projected to increase by almost 300% by 2040 compared to baseline levels.

conclusionsPeople living with dementia should be considered a high-risk group during hot weather. Our results support arguments for more stringent climate change mitigation policies.

Indexed as

DementiaHot TemperatureClimate ChangeEnglandForecastingHospitalizationHospitalsHumansAmbient temperatureClimate changeDementiaHospital admissionTime series

Identifiers

PMID34890899
PMCPMC8739554

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.