ArticleScientific reports2021
The role of European health system characteristics in affecting Covid 19 lethality during the early days of the pandemic.
Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.
- The epidemic and socioeconomic factors shock: a long-term dynamic analysis of equity in infectious disease healthcare in China.International journal for equity in health · 2026Article
- Assessing factors of COVID-19 outcomes in the United States based on the ecological framework of population health.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Analyzing the emotional impact of COVID-19 with Twitter data: Lessons from a B-VAR analysis on Italy.Socio-economic planning sciences · 2023Article
- The impact of older adult care policy mixes on the construction of senior centers.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Study on the Impact of Government Health Expenditure Equity on Residents' Health Level in the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle of China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
This article examines the main factors affecting COVID-19 lethality across 16 European Countries with a focus on the role of health system characteristics during the first phase of the diffusion of the virus. Specifically, we investigate the leading causes of lethality at 10, 20, 30, 40 days in the first hit of the pandemic. Using a random forest regression (ML), with lethality as outcome variable, we show that the percentage of people older than 65 years (with two or more chronic diseases) is the main predictor variable of lethality by COVID-19, followed by the number of hospital intensive care unit beds, investments in healthcare spending compared to GDP, number of nurses and doctors. Moreover, the variable of general practitioners has little but significant predicting quality. These findings contribute to provide evidence for the prediction of lethality caused by COVID-19 in Europe and open the discussion on health policy and management of health care and ICU beds during a severe epidemic.
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Registered trials
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