ArticleNature2021
Unrepresentative big surveys significantly overestimated US vaccine uptake.
Article in Nature, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 93 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
93 citing papers in PubMed.
- Association of Direct-to-Consumer Advertising of Prescription Drugs With Consumer Health-Related Intentions and Beliefs Among Individuals at Risk of Cardiovascular Disease.JAMA health forum · 2022Trial
- Heterogeneous estimations of non-pharmaceutical mitigation behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic.Scientific data · 2026Article
- Verdict: No Evidence of Increased Parkinsonism Risk With Macrocyclic Gadolinium-Based Contrast Agents.Korean journal of radiology · 2026Article
- Moving From Representativeness Toward Transportability in an Era of Digital and Big Data.International journal of public health · 2026Review
- Conditioning Public Opinion Perceptions by "Survey Methods 101": Informing, Engaging, and Motivating Individuals for Critical Processing of Public Opinion Polls.Public opinion quarterly · 2026Article
- Rental assistance, housing insecurity, & well-being: Spillover effects of emergency rental assistance during the COVID-19 pandemic.Social science & medicine (1982) · 2026Article
- An integrative, peer-reviewed and open-source cooperative-breeding database (Co-BreeD).The Journal of animal ecology · 2025Article
- Evaluating the accuracy of survey data: a case study of COVID-19 vaccination rates in Germany.BMC medical research methodology · 2025Article
- American Life in Realtime: Benchmark, publicly available person-generated health data for equity in precision health.PNAS nexus · 2025Article
- A Bayesian model for repeated cross-sectional epidemic prevalence survey data.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- The Mental Health of Essential Workers during the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Role of U.S. State-level Policies.Society and mental health · 2025Article
- Treating gaps and biases in biodiversity data as a missing data problem.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2025Review
- Comparing patient-reported outcomes measurement information systemQuality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2025Article
- Comparing Health Survey Data Cost and Quality Between Amazon's Mechanical Turk and Ipsos' KnowledgePanel: Observational Study.Journal of medical Internet research · 2024Observational
- Real World Data Versus Probability Surveys for Estimating Health Conditions at the State Level.Journal of survey statistics and methodology · 2024Article
- Towards geospatially-resolved public-health surveillance via wastewater sequencing.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Tracking COVID-19 Infections Using Survey Data on Rapid At-Home Tests.JAMA network open · 2024Article
- Measuring vaccination coverage and concerns of vaccine holdouts from web search logs.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Perceived Risk for Severe COVID-19 and Oral Antiviral Use Among Antiviral-Eligible US Adults.Infectious diseases and therapy · 2024Article
- A framework for understanding selection bias in real-world healthcare data.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2024Article
33 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Surveys are a crucial tool for understanding public opinion and behaviour, and their accuracy depends on maintaining statistical representativeness of their target populations by minimizing biases from all sources. Increasing data size shrinks confidence intervals but magnifies the effect of survey bias: an instance of the Big Data Paradox
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.