Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34880062›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2021

Geographic barriers to establishing a successful hospital referral system in rural Madagascar.

Felana Angella Ihantamalala, Matthew H Bonds, Mauricianot Randriamihaja, Luc Rakotonirina, Vincent Herbreteau, Christophe Révillion, Serge Rakotoarimanana, Giovanna Cowley, Tsirinomen'ny Aina Andriatiana, Alishya Mayfield and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Felana Angella IhantamalalaResearch, NGO PIVOT, Ifanadiana, Fianarantsoa, Madagascar felana.angella@gmail.com.
Matthew H BondsDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Mauricianot RandriamihajaNGO PIVOT, Ranomafana, Madagascar.
Luc RakotonirinaNGO PIVOT, Ranomafana, Madagascar.
Vincent HerbreteauEspace-Dev, IRD, Université des Antilles, Université de Guyane, Université de Montpellier, Université de La Réunion, Phnom Penh, Cambodia.
Christophe RévillionEspace-Dev, IRD, Université des Antilles, Université de Guyane, Université de Montpellier, Université de La Réunion, Saint-Pierre, France.
Serge RakotoarimananaNGO PIVOT, Ranomafana, Madagascar.
Giovanna CowleyNGO PIVOT, Ranomafana, Madagascar.
Tsirinomen'ny Aina AndriatianaNGO PIVOT, Ranomafana, Madagascar.
Alishya MayfieldDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Michael L RichDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Rado J L RakotonanaharyNGO PIVOT, Ranomafana, Madagascar.
Karen E FinneganNGO PIVOT, Ranomafana, Madagascar.
Andriamanolohaja RamarsonNGO PIVOT, Ranomafana, Madagascar.
Benedicte RazafinjatoNGO PIVOT, Ranomafana, Madagascar.
Bruno RamiandrisoaMinistry of Public Health, Antananarivo, Madagascar.
Andriamihaja RandrianambininaMinistere de la Sante Publique, Antananarivo, Madagascar.
Laura F CordierNGO PIVOT, Ranomafana, Madagascar.
Andres GarchitorenaNGO PIVOT, Ranomafana, Madagascar.ORCID 0000-0001-6225-5226

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe provision of emergency and hospital care has become an integral part of the global vision for universal health coverage. To strengthen secondary care systems, we need to accurately understand the time necessary for populations to reach a hospital. The goal of this study was to develop methods that accurately estimate referral and prehospital time for rural districts in low and middle-income countries. We used these estimates to assess how local geography can limit the impact of a strengthened referral programme in a rural district of Madagascar.

methodsWe developed a database containing: travel speed by foot and motorised vehicles in Ifanadiana district; a full mapping of all roads, footpaths and households; and remotely sensed data on terrain, land cover and climatic characteristics. We used this information to calibrate estimates of referral and prehospital time based on the shortest route algorithms and statistical models of local travel speed. We predict the impact on referral numbers of strategies aimed at reducing referral time for underserved populations via generalised linear mixed models.

resultsAbout 10% of the population lived less than 2 hours from the hospital, and more than half lived over 4 hours away, with variable access depending on climatic conditions. Only the four health centres located near the paved road had referral times to the hospital within 1 hour. Referral time remained the main barrier limiting the number of referrals despite health system strengthening efforts. The addition of two new referral centres is estimated to triple the population living within 2 hours from a centre with better emergency care capacity and nearly double the number of expected referrals.

conclusionThis study demonstrates how adapting geographic accessibility modelling methods to local scales can occur through improving the precision of travel time estimates and pairing them with data on health facility use.

Indexed as

Referral and ConsultationRural PopulationHumansMadagascarTravelUniversal Health Insurancegeographic information systemshealth systemspublic health

Identifiers

PMID34880062
PMCPMC8655550

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.