Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34879850›Full record

ArticleBMC pregnancy and childbirth2021

An early model to predict the risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in the absence of blood examination indexes: application in primary health care centres.

Jingyuan Wang, Bohan Lv, Xiujuan Chen, Yueshuai Pan, Kai Chen, Yan Zhang, Qianqian Li, Lili Wei, Yan Liu

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC pregnancy and childbirth, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 44 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jingyuan WangDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China.
Bohan LvSchool of Nursing, Qingdao University, Qingdao, China.
Xiujuan ChenDepartment of Nursing, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, #16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, Shandong Province, China.
Yueshuai PanDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China.
Kai ChenDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China.
Yan ZhangDepartment of Nursing, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, #16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, Shandong Province, China.
Qianqian LiDepartment of Nursing, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, #16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, Shandong Province, China.
Lili WeiDepartment of Nursing, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, #16 Jiangsu Road, Qingdao, 266003, Shandong Province, China. weilili@qduhospital.cn.
Yan LiuDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China.
Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University · CNQingdao University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is one of the critical causes of adverse perinatal outcomes. A reliable estimate of GDM in early pregnancy would facilitate intervention plans for maternal and infant health care to prevent the risk of adverse perinatal outcomes. This study aims to build an early model to predict GDM in the first trimester for the primary health care centre.

methodsCharacteristics of pregnant women in the first trimester were collected from eastern China from 2017 to 2019. The univariate analysis was performed using SPSS 23.0 statistical software. Characteristics comparison was applied with Mann-Whitney U test for continuous variables and chi-square test for categorical variables. All analyses were two-sided with p < 0.05 indicating statistical significance. The train_test_split function in Python was used to split the data set into 70% for training and 30% for test. The Random Forest model and Logistic Regression model in Python were applied to model the training data set. The 10-fold cross-validation was used to assess the model's performance by the areas under the ROC Curve, diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity.

resultsA total of 1,139 pregnant women (186 with GDM) were included in the final data analysis. Significant differences were observed in age (Z=-2.693, p=0.007), pre-pregnancy BMI (Z=-5.502, p<0.001), abdomen circumference in the first trimester (Z=-6.069, p<0.001), gravidity (Z=-3.210, p=0.001), PCOS (χ

conclusionsThis research developed a simple model to predict the risk of GDM using machine learning algorithm based on pre-pregnancy BMI, abdomen circumference in the first trimester, age, PCOS, gravidity, irregular menstruation, and family history of diabetes. The model was easy in operation, and all predictors were easily obtained in the first trimester in primary health care centres.

Indexed as

Machine LearningModels, StatisticalPregnancy Trimester, FirstAdultChinaDiabetes, GestationalFemaleHumansPregnancyPrimary Health CareRisk FactorsROC CurveSensitivity and SpecificityGestational diabetes mellitusMachine LearningMaternal and infant health carePrediction modelPrimary health care centre

Identifiers

PMID34879850
PMCPMC8653559
OpenAlexW4200200471

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.