Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34879102›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

A comparison of three strategies to reduce the burden of osteoarthritis: A population-based microsimulation study.

Jacek A Kopec, Eric C Sayre, Anya Okhmatovskaia, Jolanda Cibere, Linda C Li, Nick Bansback, Hubert Wong, Shahzad Ghanbarian, John M Esdaile

Open access · goldAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Jacek A KopecUniversity of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-2974-7904
Eric C SayreArthritis Research Canada, Richmond, British Columbia, Canada.
Anya OkhmatovskaiaMcGill University, Montreal, Québec, Canada.
Jolanda CibereUniversity of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Linda C LiUniversity of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-6280-0511
Nick BansbackUniversity of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Hubert WongUniversity of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Shahzad GhanbarianCentre of Clinical Epidemiology and Evaluation, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
John M EsdaileUniversity of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
University of British Columbia · CACentre for Advancing Health Outcomes · CAMcGill University · CAResearch Canada · CA

Funding

CIHR
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe purpose of this study was to compare three strategies for reducing population health burden of osteoarthritis (OA): improved pharmacological treatment of OA-related pain, improved access to joint replacement surgery, and prevention of OA by reducing obesity and overweight.

methodsWe applied a validated computer microsimulation model of OA in Canada. The model simulated a Canadian-representative open population aged 20 years and older. Variables in the model included demographics, body mass index, OA diagnosis, OA treatment, mortality, and health-related quality of life. Model parameters were derived from analyses of national surveys, population-based administrative data, a hospital-based cohort study, and the literature. We compared 8 what-if intervention scenarios in terms of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) relative to base-case, over a wide range of time horizons.

resultsReductions in DALYs depended on the type of intervention, magnitude of the intervention, and the time horizon. Medical interventions (a targeted increase in the use of painkillers) tended to produce effects quickly and were, therefore, most effective over a short time horizon (a decade). Surgical interventions (increased access to joint replacement) were most effective over a medium time horizon (two decades or longer). Preventive interventions required a substantial change in BMI to generate a significant impact, but produced more reduction in DALYs than treatment strategies over a very long time horizon (several decades).

conclusionsIn this population-based modeling study we assessed the potential impact of three different burden reduction strategies in OA. Data generated by our model may help inform the implementation of strategies to reduce the burden of OA in Canada and elsewhere.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationAdultAgedArthroplasty, ReplacementBody Mass IndexCanadaCohort StudiesFemaleHealth Services AccessibilityHumansMaleMiddle AgedObesityOsteoarthritis, HipOsteoarthritis, KneePain

Identifiers

PMID34879102
PMCPMC8654220
OpenAlexW4200412529

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.