Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34877803›Full record

ArticleCPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology2022

Development of a model-based clinical trial simulation platform to optimize the design of clinical trials for Duchenne muscular dystrophy.

Karthik Lingineni, Varun Aggarwal, Juan Francisco Morales, Daniela J Conrado, Diane Corey, Camille Vong, Jackson Burton, Jane Larkindale, Klaus Romero, Stephan Schmidt and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed.

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  17. Machine Learning in Clinical Trials: A Primer with Applications to Neurology.Neurotherapeutics : the journal of the American Society for Experimental NeuroTherapeutics · 2023
    Review
  18. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Karthik LingineniDepartment of Pharmaceutics, Center for Pharmacometrics and Systems Pharmacology, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Orlando, Florida, USA.
Varun AggarwalCritical Path Institute, Tucson, Arizona, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8406-0961
Juan Francisco MoralesDepartment of Pharmaceutics, Center for Pharmacometrics and Systems Pharmacology, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Orlando, Florida, USA.
Daniela J Conradoe-Quantify LLC, La Jolla, California, USA.
Diane CoreyCritical Path Institute, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
Camille VongGlobal Product Development, Pfizer Inc, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
Jackson BurtonCritical Path Institute, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
Jane LarkindaleCritical Path Institute, Tucson, Arizona, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1055-9679
Klaus RomeroCritical Path Institute, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
Stephan SchmidtDepartment of Pharmaceutics, Center for Pharmacometrics and Systems Pharmacology, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Orlando, Florida, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4998-1167
Sarah KimDepartment of Pharmaceutics, Center for Pharmacometrics and Systems Pharmacology, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Orlando, Florida, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9179-0735
Cooperative International Neuromuscular Research Group investigators and Duchenne Regulatory Science Consortium members

Funding

Critical Path to Public Private PartnershipsU18FD005320 · FDA · CRITICAL PATH INSTITUTE · PI Klaus Romero · 2014 to 2026
$127.1M
Magnetic Resonance Imaging and Biomarkers for Muscular DystropyR01AR056973 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI VANDENBORNE, KRISTA H · 2010 to 2024
$20.2M
Clinically Meaningful Outcomes for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy Therapeutic TrialsR01AR061875 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT DAVIS · PI MCDONALD, CRAIG M. · 2011 to 2014
$1.3M
FDA HHS U18 FD005320NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR056973NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR061875
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Early clinical trials of therapies to treat Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), a fatal genetic X-linked pediatric disease, have been designed based on the limited understanding of natural disease progression and variability in clinical measures over different stages of the continuum of the disease. The objective was to inform the design of DMD clinical trials by developing a disease progression model-based clinical trial simulation (CTS) platform based on measures commonly used in DMD trials. Data were integrated from past studies through the Duchenne Regulatory Science Consortium founded by the Critical Path Institute (15 clinical trials and studies, 1505 subjects, 27,252 observations). Using a nonlinear mixed-effects modeling approach, longitudinal dynamics of five measures were modeled (NorthStar Ambulatory Assessment, forced vital capacity, and the velocities of the following three timed functional tests: time to stand from supine, time to climb 4 stairs, and 10 meter walk-run time). The models were validated on external data sets and captured longitudinal changes in the five measures well, including both early disease when function improves as a result of growth and development and the decline in function in later stages. The models can be used in the CTS platform to perform trial simulations to optimize the selection of inclusion/exclusion criteria, selection of measures, and other trial parameters. The data sets and models have been reviewed by the US Food and Drug Administration and the European Medicines Agency; have been accepted into the Fit-for-Purpose and Qualification for Novel Methodologies pathways, respectively; and will be submitted for potential endorsement by both agencies.

Indexed as

Muscular Dystrophy, DuchenneChildComputer SimulationDisease ProgressionHumansVital Capacity

Identifiers

PMID34877803
PMCPMC8923721

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.