Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34876424›Full record

SynthesisBMJ open2021

Ratio of asymptomatic COVID-19 cases among ascertained SARS-CoV-2 infections in different regions and population groups in 2020: a systematic review and meta-analysis including 130 123 infections from 241 studies.

Xiao Chen, Ziyue Huang, Jingxuan Wang, Shi Zhao, Martin Chi-Sang Wong, Ka Chun Chong, Daihai He, Jinhui Li

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ open, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  13. PCR testing of traced contacts for SARS-CoV-2 in England, January to July 2021.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Xiao Chen *School of Public Health, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.
Ziyue Huang *Mianyang Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital, Mianyang, China.
Jingxuan Wang *JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China jxwang@link.cuhk.edu.hk clairehh4588@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-1570-7266
Shi ZhaoJC School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Martin Chi-Sang WongJC School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Ka Chun ChongJC School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5610-1298
Daihai HeDepartment of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3253-654X
Jinhui LiJC School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China jxwang@link.cuhk.edu.hk clairehh4588@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-2572-3454

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAsymptomatic infection of SARS-CoV-2 may lead to silent community transmission and compromise the COVID-19 pandemic control measures. We aimed to estimate the rate of asymptomatic COVID-19 from published studies and compare this rate among different regions and patient groups.

methodsIn this systematic review and meta-analysis, electronic databases including Medline, Embase, PubMed and three Chinese electronic databases (Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure [CNKI], WanFang Data and China Science, and Technology Journal Database [VIP]) were searched for literature published from 1 November 2019 to 31 December 2020. Original investigations with sample size (or number of subjects) not less than five were included for further analyses. Subgroup analyses were conducted according to different study types, study periods, geographical regions and patient demographics. The STATA (V.14.0) command 'metaprop' was implemented to conduct a meta-analysis of the pooled rate estimates of asymptomatic infections with exact binomial and score test-based 95% confidence interval (CI).

resultsA total of 130 123 ascertained COVID-19 infections from 241 studies were included in this meta-analysis, including 31 411 asymptomatic infections. The overall rate of asymptomatic infections was 23.6% (18.5%-29.1%) and 21.7% (16.8%-27.0%) before and after excluding presymptomatic cases, respectively. Subgroup analysis showed that significantly higher in pregnant women (48.8%, 28.9%-68.9%), children (32.1%, 24.2%-40.5%), and studies reporting screening programmes (36.0%, 24.6%-48.1%) conducted on or after 1 March 2020 (42.5%, 33.4%-51.9%). In terms of geographical region, the rate was the highest in Africa (64.3%, 56.7%-71.6%), followed by America (40.0%, 27.4%-53.3%), Europe (28.1%, 19.0%-38.1%) and Asia (18.1%, 13.2%-23.5%).

conclusionWe approximated that one-fifth of COVID-19 infections are asymptomatic throughout the course of infection. Public health policies targeting these high-risk groups may be recommended to achieve early identification and more stringent containment of the pandemic.

Indexed as

COVID-19Asymptomatic InfectionsChildFemaleHumansPandemicsPopulation GroupsPregnancySARS-CoV-2COVID-19epidemiologyinfectious diseasespublic health

Identifiers

PMID34876424
PMCPMC8655350

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.