Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34869790›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of health economics2021

Improving the Performance of Risk Adjustment Systems: Constrained Regressions, Reinsurance, and Variable Selection.

Thomas G McGuire, Anna L Zink, Sherri Rose

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of health economics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
4.7field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Exploration of using constrained regression in Germany's morbidity-based risk adjustment.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. A critical review of the use of RThe European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2025
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Ethical Machine Learning in Healthcare.Annual review of biomedical data science · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Thomas G McGuireHealth Economics, Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School.
Anna L ZinkHealth Policy at Harvard University.
Sherri RoseCenter for Health Policy and Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research, Stanford University.
Harvard University · US

Funding

Machine Learning for Health Outcomes and Quality of Care in Low-Income PopulationsDP2MD012722 · NIMHD · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI ROSE, SHERRI · 2017 to 2017
$2.5M
NIMHD NIH HHS DP2 MD012722
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Modifications of risk-adjustment systems used to pay health plans in individual health insurance markets typically seek to reduce selection incentives at the individual and group levels by adding variables to the payment formula. Adding variables can be costly and lead to unintended incentives for upcoding or service utilization. While these drawbacks are recognized, they are hard to quantify and difficult to balance against the concrete, measurable improvements in fit that may be achieved by adding variables to the formula. This paper takes a different approach to improving the performance of health plan payment systems. Using the HHS-HHC V0519 model from the Marketplaces as a starting point, we constrain fit at the individual and group level to be as good or better than the current payment model while

Identifiers

PMID34869790
PMCPMC8635414
OpenAlexW3179083380

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.