Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34864933›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2022

Predictors of All-Cause Mortality Among People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) in a Prospective Cohort Study in East Africa and Nigeria.

Hannah Kibuuka, Ezra Musingye, Betty Mwesigwa, Michael Semwogerere, Michael Iroezindu, Emmanuel Bahemana, Jonah Maswai, John Owuoth, Allahna Esber, Nicole Dear and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  7. Plasma Inflammatory Biomarkers Link to Worse Cognition Among Africans With HIV.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Hannah KibuukaMakerere University Walter Reed Project, Kampala, Uganda.
Ezra MusingyeMakerere University Walter Reed Project, Kampala, Uganda.
Betty MwesigwaMakerere University Walter Reed Project, Kampala, Uganda.
Michael SemwogerereMakerere University Walter Reed Project, Kampala, Uganda.
Michael IroezinduUS Military Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA.
Emmanuel BahemanaUS Military Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA.
Jonah MaswaiUS Military Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA.
John OwuothUS Army Medical Research Directorate-Africa, Kisumu, Kenya.
Allahna EsberUS Military Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5337-0126
Nicole DearUS Military Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8026-9901
Trevor A CrowellUS Military Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA.
Christina S PolyakUS Military Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA.
Julie A AkeUS Military Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Research Program, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA.
AFRICOS Study Group

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIntroduction of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been associated with a decline in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-related mortality, although HIV remains a leading cause of death in sub-Saharan Africa. We describe all-cause mortality and its predictors in people living with HIV (PLWH) in the African Cohort Study (AFRICOS).

methodsAFRICOS enrolls participants with or without HIV at 12 sites in Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, and Nigeria. Evaluations every 6 months include sociobehavioral questionnaires, medical history, physical examination, and laboratory tests. Mortality data are collected from medical records and survivor interviews. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors associated with mortality.

resultsFrom 2013 through 2020, 2724 PLWH completed at least 1 follow-up visit or experienced death. Of these 58.4% were females, 25.8% were aged ≥ 50 years, and 98.3% were ART-experienced. We observed 11.42 deaths per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 9.53-13.68) with causes ascertained in 54% of participants. Deaths were caused by malignancy (28.1%), infections (29.7%), and other non-HIV related conditions. Predictors of mortality included CD4 ≤ 350 cells/µL (aHR 2.01 [95% CI: 1.31-3.08]), a log10copies/mL increase of viral load (aHR 1.36 [95% CI: 1.22-1.51]), recent fever (aHR 1.85[95% CI: 1.22-2.81]), body mass index < 18.5 kg/m2 (aHR 2.20 [95% CI: 1.44-3.38]), clinical depression (aHR 2.42 [95% CI: 1.40-4.18]), World Health Organization (WHO) stage III (aHR 2.18 [95% CI: 1.31-3.61]), a g/dL increase in hemoglobin (aHR 0.79 [95% CI: .72-.85]), and every year on ART (aHR 0.67 [95% CI: .56-.81]).

conclusionsThe mortality rate was low in this cohort of mostly virally suppressed PLWH. Patterns of deaths and identified predictors suggest multiple targets for interventions to reduce mortality.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsHIV InfectionsCohort StudiesFemaleHIVHumansMaleNigeriaProspective StudiesTanzaniaAnti-HIV Agentsacquired immunodeficiency syndromeAfrica South of the Saharacause of deathHIVmortality

Identifiers

PMID34864933
PMCPMC9464064

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.