Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34855890›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

HIV incidence, viremia, and the national response in Eswatini: Two sequential population-based surveys.

Rejoice Nkambule, Neena M Philip, Giles Reid, Zandile Mnisi, Harriet Nuwagaba-Biribonwoha, Tony T Ao, Choice Ginindza, Yen T Duong, Hetal Patel, Suzue Saito and 16 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. COVID-19 impact on HIV PrEP uptake and retention at selected health facilities in Eswatini.African journal of primary health care & family medicine · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors.

Rejoice NkambuleMinistry of Health, Mbabane, Eswatini.
Neena M PhilipICAP at Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-5816-8197
Giles ReidICAP at Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-1699-4324
Zandile MnisiMinistry of Health, Mbabane, Eswatini.
Harriet Nuwagaba-BiribonwohaDepartment of Epidemiology, Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States of America.
Tony T AoU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Eswatini, Mbabane, Eswatini.
Choice GinindzaCentral Statistics Office, Mbabane, Eswatini.
Yen T DuongICAP at Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States of America.
Hetal PatelU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Center for Global Health, Division of Global HIV and TB, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
Suzue SaitoICAP at Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States of America.
Chelsea SolmoICAP at Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States of America.
Kristin BrownU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Center for Global Health, Division of Global HIV and TB, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
Chiara S MoorePHI/CDC Global Health Fellowship Program, Oakland, CA, United States of America.
Andrew C VoetschU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Center for Global Health, Division of Global HIV and TB, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
George BicegoU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Center for Global Health, Division of Global HIV and TB, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
Naomi BockU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Center for Global Health, Division of Global HIV and TB, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
Fortune MhlangaCentral Statistics Office, Mbabane, Eswatini.
Tengetile DlaminiNational Emergency Response Council on HIV/AIDS (NERCHA), Mbabane, Eswatini.
Khanya MabuzaNational Emergency Response Council on HIV/AIDS (NERCHA), Mbabane, Eswatini.
Amos ZwaneCentral Statistics Office, Mbabane, Eswatini.
Ruben SahaboICAP at Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, Mbabane, Eswatini.
Trudy DobbsU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Center for Global Health, Division of Global HIV and TB, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
Bharat S ParekhU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Center for Global Health, Division of Global HIV and TB, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America.
Wafaa El-SadrICAP at Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States of America.
Caroline RyanU.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Eswatini, Mbabane, Eswatini.
Jessica JustmanICAP at Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, United States of America.

Funding

RAPID SCALE UP OF HIV/AIDS CARE AND TREATMENT SERVICES IN THE KINGDOM OF SWAZILANU2GPS002005 · PS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI JUSTMAN, JESSICA E. · 2009 to 2014
$46.8M
NCHHSTP CDC HHS U2G PS002005PEPFAR
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

With the highest HIV incidence and prevalence globally, the government of Eswatini started a substantial scale-up of HIV treatment and prevention services in 2011. Two sequential large population-based surveys were conducted before and after service expansion to assess the impact of the national response. Cross-sectional, household-based, nationally representative samples of adults, ages 18 to 49 years, were sampled in 2011 and 2016. We measured HIV prevalence, incidence (recent infection based on limiting antigen ≤1.5 optical density units and HIV RNA ≥1000 copies/mL), viral load suppression (HIV RNA <1000 copies/mL among all seropositive adults) and unsuppressed viremia (HIV RNA ≥1000 copies/mL among all, regardless of HIV status) and assessed for temporal changes by conducting a trend analysis of the log ratio of proportions, using a Z statistic distribution. HIV prevalence remained stable from 2011 to 2016 [32% versus 30%, p = 0.10]. HIV incidence significantly declined 48% [2.48% versus 1.30%, p = 0.01]. Incidence remained higher among women than men [2011: 3.16% versus 1.83%; 2016: 1.76% versus 0.86%], with a smaller but significant relative reduction among women [44%; p = 0.04] than men [53%; p = 0.09]. The proportion of seropositive adults with viral load suppression significantly increased from 35% to 71% [p < .001]. The proportion of the total adult population with unsuppressed viremia decreased from 21% to 9% [p < .001]. National HIV incidence in Eswatini decreased by nearly half and viral load suppression doubled over a five-year period. Unsuppressed viremia in the total population decreased 58%. These population-based findings demonstrate the national impact of expanded HIV services in a hyperendemic country.

Indexed as

Viral LoadAdolescentAdultCross-Sectional StudiesEswatiniFemaleHIV-1HIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedSurveys and QuestionnairesViremiaYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID34855890
PMCPMC8639055

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.