ArticleThe Journal of international medical research2021
Nomogram prediction of caries risk among schoolchildren age 7 years based on a cohort study in Shanghai.
Article in The Journal of international medical research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Risk prediction models for dental caries in children and adolescents: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMJ open · 2025Pooled it
- Development of a nomogram for prediction of occlusal dentin caries in Norwegian children at risk: a 36-month follow-up study.BMC oral health · 2026Article
- miR-155 rs767649 polymorphism contributes to dental caries susceptibility of Chinese Han children.Odontology · 2026Article
- Construction of caries risk assessment scale and oral microecology analysis of adolescents with fixed orthodontic treatment.BMC oral health · 2026Article
- Development and validation of a predictive model for severe caries in 12-year-olds from resource-limited regions: a cross-sectional study in China.BMC oral health · 2026Article
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7 authors.
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Abstract
objectiveCaries risk assessment tools are essential for identifying and providing treatment for individuals at high risk of developing caries. We aimed to develop a nomogram for the assessment and evaluation of caries risk among Chinese children.
methodsWe enrolled schoolchildren age 7 years from a primary school in Shanghai. Baseline information of participants was collected using a questionnaire completed by children's caregivers. A nomogram of a novel prediction scoring model was established based on predictors detected in univariate and multivariate analyses. Predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were calculated using the concordance index (C index). The bootstrap method (1000 samples) was used to decrease overfitting. The net benefit of the model was validated using decision curve analysis.
resultsOverall, 406 children with complete information and two completed dental examinations were included in the final analysis. The nomogram based on logistic regression model coefficients demonstrated a C index of 0.766 (95% confidence interval: 0.761-0.771) for caries risk. The net benefit of the decision curve analysis was 38.6% at 55% threshold probability.
conclusionThis nomogram model, derived using dietary habits, oral hygiene status, and caries experience, showed promising predictive ability to assess the caries risk among Chinese children.
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