Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34849716›Full record

ArticleEuropean heart journal2022

Aneurysm growth, survival, and quality of life in untreated thoracic aortic aneurysms: the effective treatments for thoracic aortic aneurysms study.

Linda Sharples, Priya Sastry, Carol Freeman, Colin Bicknell, Yi Da Chiu, Srinivasa Rao Vallabhaneni, Andrew Cook, Joanne Gray, Andrew McCarthy, Peter McMeekin and 2 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readEditorialComment
In one paragraph

Article in European heart journal, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  6. Thoracic aortic aneurysm.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 9 institutions in 1 country.

Linda SharplesDepartment of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0894-966X
Priya SastryDepartment of Cardiac Surgery, John Radcliffe Hospital, Headley Way, Headington, Oxford OX3 9DU, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1012-1434
Carol FreemanPapworth Trials Unit Collaboration, Royal Papworth Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Papworth Road, Trumpington, Cambridge CB2 0AY, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9751-0784
Colin BicknellDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Imperial College, South Kensington Campus, London SW7 2AZ, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0158-1831
Yi Da ChiuPapworth Trials Unit Collaboration, Royal Papworth Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Papworth Road, Trumpington, Cambridge CB2 0AY, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8014-3399
Srinivasa Rao VallabhaneniLiverpool Vascular & Endovascular Service, Royal Liverpool University Hospital, Prescot Street, Liverpool, Merseyside L7 8XP, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4362-9277
Andrew CookWessex Institute & Southampton Clinical Trials Unit, University of Southampton, Alpha House, Enterprise Rd, Chilworth, Southampton SO16 7NS, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6680-439X
Joanne GrayFaculty of Health and Life Sciences, Northumbria University, Wells Close, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE7 7YT, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6157-230X
Andrew McCarthyFaculty of Health and Life Sciences, Northumbria University, Wells Close, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE7 7YT, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3385-6302
Peter McMeekinFaculty of Health and Life Sciences, Northumbria University, Wells Close, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE7 7YT, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0946-7224
Luke ValeHealth Economics Group, Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE2 4AX, UK.
Stephen LargeDepartment of Cardiac Surgery, Royal Papworth Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Papworth Road, Trumpington, Cambridge CB2 0AY, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3201-6344
Northumbria University · GBPapworth Hospital NHS Foundation Trust · GBImperial College London · GBJohn Radcliffe Hospital · GBNewcastle University · GBUniversity of Cambridge · GBUniversity of Liverpool · GBUniversity of London · GBUniversity of Southampton · GB

Funding

Department of Health 11/147/03
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsTo observe, describe, and evaluate management and timing of intervention for patients with untreated thoracic aortic aneurysms. METHODS AND

resultsProspective study of UK National Health Service (NHS) patients aged ≥18 years, with new/existing arch or descending thoracic aortic aneurysms of ≥4 cm diameter, followed up until death, intervention, withdrawal, or July 2019. Outcomes were aneurysm growth, survival, quality of life (using the EQ-5D-5L utility index), and hospital admissions. Between 2014 and 2018, 886 patients were recruited from 30 NHS vascular/cardiothoracic units. Maximum aneurysm diameter was in the descending aorta in 725 (82%) patients, growing at 0.2 cm (0.17-0.24) per year. Aneurysms of ≥4 cm in the arch increased by 0.07 cm (0.02-0.12) per year. Baseline diameter was related to age and comorbidities, and no clinical correlates of growth were found. During follow-up, 129 patients died, 64 from aneurysm-related events. Adjusting for age, sex, and New York Heart Association dyspnoea index, risk of death increased with aneurysm size at baseline [hazard ratio (HR): 1.88 (95% confidence interval: 1.64-2.16) per cm, P < 0.001] and with growth [HR: 2.02 (1.70-2.41) per cm, P < 0.001]. Hospital admissions increased with aneurysm size [relative risk: 1.21 (1.05-1.38) per cm, P = 0.008]. Quality of life decreased annually for each 10-year increase in age [-0.013 (-0.019 to -0.007), P < 0.001] and for current smoking [-0.043 (-0.064 to -0.023), P = 0.004]. Aneurysm size was not associated with change in quality of life.

conclusionInternational guidelines should consider increasing monitoring intervals to 12 months for small aneurysms and increasing intervention thresholds. Individualized decisions about surveillance/intervention should consider age, sex, size, growth, patient characteristics, and surgical risk.

Indexed as

Aortic Aneurysm, ThoracicAdolescentAdultAorta, ThoracicFollow-Up StudiesHumansProspective StudiesQuality of LifeState MedicineAorta and treatment outcomeAortic aneurysmComputedHumansThoracicTomographyX-ray

Identifiers

PMID34849716
PMCPMC9246658
OpenAlexW3217301548

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.