Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34849610›Full record

ArticleRheumatology (Oxford, England)2022

Ultrasound subclinical synovitis in anti-CCP-positive at-risk individuals with musculoskeletal symptoms: an important and predictable stage in the rheumatoid arthritis continuum.

Andrea Di Matteo, Laurence Duquenne, Edoardo Cipolletta, Jacqueline L Nam, Leticia Garcia-Montoya, Richard J Wakefield, Michael Mahler, Kulveer Mankia, Paul Emery

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Rheumatology (Oxford, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Palindromic Rheumatism: Revisiting the Approach to an Enigmatic Condition.International journal of rheumatic diseases · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Andrea Di MatteoLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds.ORCID 0000-0003-0867-7051
Laurence DuquenneLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds.
Edoardo CipollettaRheumatology Unit, Department of Clinical and Molecular Sciences, 'Carlo Urbani' Hospital, Polytechnic University of Marche,Jesi, Ancona, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-6881-8197
Jacqueline L NamLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds.
Leticia Garcia-MontoyaLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds.ORCID 0000-0002-1806-7532
Richard J WakefieldLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds.
Michael MahlerResearch and Development, Werfen Autoimmunity, San Diego, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7919-0948
Kulveer MankiaLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds.ORCID 0000-0002-7945-6582
Paul EmeryLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds.ORCID 0000-0002-7429-8482
University of Leeds · GBMarche Polytechnic University · IT

Funding

Department of HealthNIHR Leeds BRC IS-BRC-1215-20015
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo investigate whether anti-CCP2-positive at-risk individuals with musculoskeletal (MSK) symptoms but without clinical synovitis (CCP2+ at-risk) develop US subclinical synovitis before inflammatory arthritis and if US subclinical synovitis can be predicted.

methodsFirst, US scans of CCP2+ at-risk individuals who developed inflammatory arthritis ('progressors') were reviewed for subclinical synovitis prior to inflammatory arthritis development. Patients in whom the pre-progression US scan was negative but the scan was conducted >6 months before progression were excluded. Subsequently, regression analyses were performed to identify predictors of US synovitis in CCP2+ at-risk individuals without baseline US abnormalities who had one or more longitudinal US scan and a complete dataset.

resultsUS subclinical synovitis was detected in one or more scan in 75 of 97 progressors (77.3%) {median time to inflammatory arthritis development from first evidence of US synovitis 26.5 weeks [interquartile range (IQR) 7-60]}, in whom one or more scan was available, excluding those with a negative scan >6 months from inflammatory arthritis development (n = 38). In 220 CCP2+ at-risk individuals with normal baseline US scans, who had one or more longitudinal US scan and a complete dataset, US synovitis was detected in 69/220 (31.4%) [median time to first developing US synovitis 56.4 weeks (IQR 33.0-112.0)]. In the multivariable analysis, only anti-CCP3 antibodies were predictive for the development of US synovitis [odds ratio 4.75 (95% CI 1.97, 11.46); P < 0.01].

conclusionsIn anti-CCP2+ at-risk individuals, a stage of subclinical synovitis usually precedes the development of inflammatory arthritis. Anti-CCP2+/CCP3+ individuals without clinical or US subclinical synovitis may represent the optimal window of opportunity for intervention to prevent joint disease.

Indexed as

Arthritis, RheumatoidSynovitisAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesHumansPeptides, CyclicUltrasonographyAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesPeptides, CyclicACPAanti-CCP3at-riskinflammatory arthritispredictionrheumatoid arthritissubclinical synovitisthird-generation anti-CCP antibodiesultrasound

Identifiers

PMID34849610
PMCPMC9348771
OpenAlexW3215855715

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.