ArticleStochastic environmental research and risk assessment : research journal2022
Mathematical modeling and estimation for next wave of COVID-19 in Poland.
Article in Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment : research journal, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- An analytical approach to evaluate the impact of age demographics in a pandemic.Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment : research journal · 2023Article
- Asymmetric impact of pandemics-related uncertainty on COStochastic environmental research and risk assessment : research journal · 2022Article
- Mathematical Modeling to Determine the Fifth Wave of COVID-19 in South Africa.BioMed research international · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We investigate the problem of mathematical modeling of new corona virus (COVID-19) in Poland and tries to predict the upcoming wave. A Gaussian mixture model is proposed to characterize the COVID-19 disease and to predict a new / future wave of COVID-19. This prediction is very much needed to prepare for medical setup and continue with the upcoming program. Specifically, data related to the new confirmed cases of COVID-19 per day are considered, and then we attempt to predict the data and statistical activity. A close match between actual data and analytical data by using the Gaussian mixture model shows that it is a suitable model to present new cases of COVID-19. In addition, it is thought that there are N waves of COVID-19 and that information for each future wave is also present in current and previous waves as well. Using this concept, predictions of a future wave can be made.
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Registered trials
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