ArticleNature communications2021
New climate models reveal faster and larger increases in Arctic precipitation than previously projected.
Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
36 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Increases in Arctic Extreme Climatic Events Are Linked to Negative Fitness Effects on the Local Biota.Global change biology · 2025Pooled it
- Record-setting heavy precipitation occurrence in 2024.Science advances · 2026Article
- Westerly induced precipitation increase drives near-surface ground ice gain on the Tibetan Plateau despite warming.Science advances · 2026Article
- The in-stream renewable energy potential of rivers for remote communities in the global Arctic.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Widespread shift toward extreme dominated precipitation with pronounced trends in arid and mediterranean regions.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Article
- Role of Atlantic multidecadal variability in modulating Arctic sea ice loss and wetting.Science advances · 2026Article
- Straw Mulching Differentially Shapes the Structure and Function of Below-Ground Bacterial Communities in Potato Depending on eDNA Source and Cultivar.Plant-environment interactions (Hoboken, N.J.) · 2026Article
- Laboratory warming and wetting drives microbial respiration, enzyme activity, and community composition in a boreal forest soil.FEMS microbiology ecology · 2026Article
- Causes and consequences of Arctic amplification elucidated by coordinated multimodel experiments.Communications earth & environment · 2026Review
- Flexibility in the face of climate change? A rapid and dramatic shift towards later spring migration in Hudsonian godwits (Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2025Article
- The time of emergence of Arctic warming, wetting and sea ice melting.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Drivers of Epilithic Biofilms in Greenland Streams: The Role of Nutrients, Temperature and Catchment Slope Across a Climate Gradient.Environmental microbiology reports · 2025Article
- Pattern change of precipitation extremes in Svalbard.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Lessened projections of Arctic warming and wetting after correcting for model errors in global warming and sea ice cover.Science advances · 2025Article
- Review
- Bias-corrected high-resolution temperature and precipitation projections for Canada.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Abrupt transformation of west Greenland lakes following compound climate extremes associated with atmospheric rivers.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Gyrfalcon Prey Abundance and Their Habitat Associations in a Changing Arctic.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Topography and functional traits shape the distribution of key shrub plant functional types in low-Arctic tundra.Frontiers in plant science · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
As the Arctic continues to warm faster than the rest of the planet, evidence mounts that the region is experiencing unprecedented environmental change. The hydrological cycle is projected to intensify throughout the twenty-first century, with increased evaporation from expanding open water areas and more precipitation. The latest projections from the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) point to more rapid Arctic warming and sea-ice loss by the year 2100 than in previous projections, and consequently, larger and faster changes in the hydrological cycle. Arctic precipitation (rainfall) increases more rapidly in CMIP6 than in CMIP5 due to greater global warming and poleward moisture transport, greater Arctic amplification and sea-ice loss and increased sensitivity of precipitation to Arctic warming. The transition from a snow- to rain-dominated Arctic in the summer and autumn is projected to occur decades earlier and at a lower level of global warming, potentially under 1.5 °C, with profound climatic, ecosystem and socio-economic impacts.
Identifiers
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.