Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34845493›Full record

ArticlePediatrics2022

A Prediction Model for Pediatric Radiographic Pneumonia.

Sriram Ramgopal, Lilliam Ambroggio, Douglas Lorenz, Samir S Shah, Richard M Ruddy, Todd A Florin

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pediatrics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Sriram RamgopalDivision of Emergency Medicine, Ann & Robert H. Lurie Children's Hospital of Chicago, Department of Pediatrics, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois.
Lilliam AmbroggioDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Colorado and Sections of Emergency Medicine and Hospital Medicine, Children's Hospital Colorado, Aurora, Colorado.
Douglas LorenzDepartment of Bioinformatics and Biostatistics, University of Louisville, Louisville, Kentucky.
Samir S ShahDivisions of Hospital Medicine.
Richard M RuddyEmergency Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and College of Medicine, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio.
Todd A FlorinDivision of Emergency Medicine, Ann & Robert H. Lurie Children's Hospital of Chicago, Department of Pediatrics, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois.
Lurie Children's Hospital · USChildren's Hospital Colorado · USUniversity of Cincinnati · USUniversity of Louisville · US

Funding

Cincinnati Center for Clinical and Translational Sciences and TrainingKL2TR000078 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI HEUBI, JAMES E., TSEVAT, JOEL · 2012 to 2014
$1.5M
BIOMARKERS AND RISK STRATIFICATION IN PEDIATRIC COMMUNITY-ACQUIRED PNEUMONIAK23AI121325 · NIAID · LURIE CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL OF CHICAGO · PI FLORIN, TODD ADAM · 2016 to 2019
$743k
Metabolomics Evaluation of the Etiology of PneumoniaK01AI125413 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI AMBROGGIO, LILLIAM · 2017 to 2021
$641k
Urinary Proadrenomedullin to Improve Risk Stratification of Children with Community-Acquired PneumoniaR03AI147112 · NIAID · LURIE CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL OF CHICAGO · PI FLORIN, TODD ADAM · 2019 to 2020
$175k
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR000078NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI125413NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI121325NIAID NIH HHS R03 AI147112
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChest radiographs (CXRs) are frequently used in the diagnosis of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). We sought to construct a predictive model for radiographic CAP based on clinical features to decrease CXR use.

methodsWe performed a single-center prospective study of patients 3 months to 18 years of age with signs of lower respiratory infection who received a CXR for suspicion of CAP. We used penalized multivariable logistic regression to develop a full model and bootstrapped backward selection models to develop a parsimonious reduced model. We evaluated model performance at different thresholds of predicted risk.

resultsRadiographic CAP was identified in 253 (22.2%) of 1142 patients. In multivariable analysis, increasing age, prolonged fever duration, tachypnea, and focal decreased breath sounds were positively associated with CAP. Rhinorrhea and wheezing were negatively associated with CAP. The bootstrapped reduced model retained 3 variables: age, fever duration, and decreased breath sounds. The area under the receiver operating characteristic for the reduced model was 0.80 (95% confidence interval: 0.77-0.84). Of 229 children with a predicted risk of <4%, 13 (5.7%) had radiographic CAP (sensitivity of 94.9% at a 4% risk threshold). Conversely, of 229 children with a predicted risk of >39%, 140 (61.1%) had CAP (specificity of 90% at a 39% risk threshold).

conclusionsA predictive model including age, fever duration, and decreased breath sounds has excellent discrimination for radiographic CAP. After external validation, this model may facilitate decisions around CXR or antibiotic use in CAP.

Indexed as

Clinical Decision RulesRadiography, ThoracicAdolescentAge FactorsChildChild, PreschoolClinical Decision-MakingCommunity-Acquired InfectionsFemaleFeverHumansInfantMalePneumoniaProspective StudiesRegression Analysis

Identifiers

PMID34845493
PMCPMC9647527
OpenAlexW3216917401

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.