ArticleBMC infectious diseases2021
Seasonality of confirmed malaria cases from 2008 to 2017 in Togo: a time series analysis by health district and target group.
Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.
- Environmental and socio-economic determinants of malaria transmission in West Africa: a systematic review.One health outlook · 2025Review
- Identifying malaria epidemic periods in Togo by health district and target group: a generalised additive model approach.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Reasons for consultations and afflicted body systems in rural areas of The Republic of the Congo: A cross-sectional study.PloS one · 2025Article
- Proactive home-based malaria management in rural communities of Bassar Health District in northern Togo from 2014 to 2017: PECADOM + , a pilot experiment.Malaria journal · 2024Article
- Exploring malaria prediction models in Togo: a time series forecasting by health district and target group.BMJ open · 2024Article
- Prevalence and risk factors associated with malaria infection in children under two years of age in southern Togo prior to perennial malaria chemoprevention implementation.Malaria journal · 2023Article
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Authors and funding
7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThis study aimed to assess the seasonality of confirmed malaria cases in Togo and to provide new indicators of malaria seasonality to the National Malaria Control Programme (NMCP).
methodsAggregated data of confirmed malaria cases were collected monthly from 2008 to 2017 by the Togo's NMCP and stratified by health district and according to three target groups: children < 5 years old, children ≥ 5 years old and adults, and pregnant women. Time series analysis was carried out for each target group and health district. Seasonal decomposition was used to assess the seasonality of confirmed malaria cases. Maximum and minimum seasonal indices, their corresponding months, and the ratio of maximum/minimum seasonal indices reflecting the importance of malaria transmission, were provided by health district and target group.
resultsFrom 2008 to 2017, 7,951,757 malaria cases were reported in Togo. Children < 5 years old, children ≥ 5 years old and adults, and pregnant women represented 37.1%, 57.7% and 5.2% of the confirmed malaria cases, respectively. The maximum seasonal indices were observed during or shortly after a rainy season and the minimum seasonal indices during the dry season between January and April in particular. In children < 5 years old, the ratio of maximum/minimum seasonal indices was higher in the north, suggesting a higher seasonal malaria transmission, than in the south of Togo. This is also observed in the other two groups but to a lesser extent.
conclusionsThis study contributes to a better understanding of malaria seasonality in Togo. The indicators of malaria seasonality could allow for more accurate forecasting in malaria interventions and supply planning throughout the year.
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