Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34835186›Full record

ReviewVaccines2021

Estimation of Reduction in Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Due to Egg-Adaptation Changes-Systematic Literature Review and Expert Consensus.

Raul Ortiz de Lejarazu-Leonardo, Emanuele Montomoli, Radek Wojcik, Solomon Christopher, Anne Mosnier, Elena Pariani, Antoni Trilla Garcia, Helmut Fickenscher, Barbara C Gärtner, Ravi Jandhyala and 2 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Vaccines, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Update on Influenza.The American journal of the medical sciences · 2026
    Review
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  7. Article
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  9. Review
  10. Review
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  12. Review
  13. Article
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  15. European community pharmacists practice in tackling influenza.Exploratory research in clinical and social pharmacy · 2024
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Raul Ortiz de Lejarazu-LeonardoValladolid National Influenza Centre, Calle Rondilla de Santa Teresa s/n, 47009 Valladolid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-4117-1186
Emanuele MontomoliDepartment of Molecular Medicine, University of Siena, 53100 Siena, Italy.
Radek WojcikMedialis Ltd., Banbury OX16 0AH, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3583-4545
Solomon ChristopherMedialis Ltd., Banbury OX16 0AH, UK.
Anne MosnierOpen Rome, 75008 Paris, France.
Elena ParianiDepartment of Biomedical Science for Health, University of Milan, 20122 Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5681-3455
Antoni Trilla GarciaPreventive Medicine and Epidemiology, Hospital Clínic, University of Barcelona, 08007 Barcelona, Spain.
Helmut FickenscherInstitute for Infection Medicine, Kiel University, 24118 Kiel, Germany.
Barbara C GärtnerInstitute for Microbiology and Hygiene, Saarland University, Faculty of Medicine and Medical Center, Building 43, 66421 Homburg/Saar, Germany.
Ravi JandhyalaMedialis Ltd., Banbury OX16 0AH, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7241-7476
Maria ZambonPublic Health England, London SE1 8UG, UK.
Catherine MooreWales Specialist Virology Centre, Public Health Wales, Cardiff CF14 4XW, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInfluenza vaccines are the main tool to prevent morbidity and mortality of the disease; however, egg adaptations associated with the choice of the manufacturing process may reduce their effectiveness. This study aimed to estimate the impact of egg adaptations and antigenic drift on the effectiveness of trivalent (TIV) and quadrivalent (QIV) influenza vaccines.

methodsNine experts in influenza virology were recruited into a Delphi-style exercise. In the first round, the experts were asked to answer questions on the impact of antigenic drift and egg adaptations on vaccine match (VM) and influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE). In the second round, the experts were presented with the data from a systematic literature review on the same subject and aggregated experts' responses to round one questions. The experts were asked to review and confirm or amend their responses before the final summary statistics were calculated.

resultsThe experts estimated that, across Europe, the egg adaptations reduce, on average, VM to circulating viruses by 7-21% and reduce IVE by 4-16%. According to the experts, antigenic drift results in a similar impact on VM (8-24%) and IVE (5-20%). The highest reduction in IVE was estimated for the influenza virus A(H3N2) subtype for the under 65 age group. When asked about the frequency of the phenomena, the experts indicated that, on average, between the 2014 and 19 seasons, egg adaptation and antigenic drift were significant enough to impact IVE that occurred in two and three out of five seasons, respectively. They also agreed that this pattern is likely to reoccur in future seasons.

conclusionsExpert estimates suggest there is a potential for 9% on average (weighted average of "All strains" over three age groups adjusted by population size) and up to a 16% increase in IVE (against A(H3N2), the <65 age group) if egg adaptations that arise when employing the traditional egg-based manufacturing process are avoided.

Indexed as

antigenicdrifteffectivenessegg adaptationsinfluenzavaccination

Identifiers

PMID34835186
PMCPMC8621612

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.