ArticleEClinicalMedicine2021
Association of chronic musculoskeletal pain with mortality among UK adults: A population-based cohort study with mediation analysis.
Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 32 citations in OpenAlex.
- Risk of cancer incidence and mortality in patients with chronic pain: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Cancer metastasis reviews · 2026Pooled it
- Joint influence of lifestyle and chronic musculoskeletal pain on all-cause mortality: the HUNT Study.BMJ open sport & exercise medicine · 2026Article
- Increased mortality in people with chronic multisite pain and insomnia: the HUNT study.Sleep medicine: X · 2025Article
- Chronic pain and mortality risk among middle-age and older Japanese: the Shika town cohort study.Pain reports · 2025Article
- Productivity Losses Due to Long-Term Back Problems in Working-Age Australians.JAMA network open · 2025Article
- Treating musculoskeletal conditions with a bit of exercise and manual therapy: are you kidding me? It's time for us to evolve again.The Journal of manual & manipulative therapy · 2025Article
- Association of chronic musculoskeletal pain, APOE Ɛ4 genotype, and analgesics with the risk of dementia: a population-based prospective cohort study.International journal of surgery (London, England) · 2025Article
- Effects of pain management on work ability in aging workers with chronic musculoskeletal pain: a cross-sectional study.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Article
- Reply to Shen et al.Pain · 2025Article
- Application of GUHA data mining method in cohort data to explore paths associated with premature death: a 29-year follow-up study.BMC medical research methodology · 2025Article
- Is the relationship between chronic pain and mortality causal? A propensity score analysis.Pain · 2025Article
- Association between probable sarcopenia and dementia risk: a prospective cohort study with mediation analysis.Translational psychiatry · 2024Article
- Association Between Socioeconomic Inequalities in Pain and All-Cause Mortality in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study: Longitudinal Cohort Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2024Article
- Musculoskeletal Pain, Physical Activity, Muscle Mass, and Mortality in Older Adults: Results from the Korean Longitudinal Study on Health and Aging (KLoSHA).Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2024Article
- Nerve block reduces the incidence of 3-year postoperative mortality: a retrospective cohort study.Frontiers in surgery · 2024Article
- Is the Pain killing you? Could Pain interference be a warning signal for midlife mortality?SSM - population health · 2023Article
- Big data, big consortia, and pain: UK Biobank, PAINSTORM, and DOLORisk.Pain reports · 2023Article
- Persistent pain and long-term physical and mental conditions and their association with psychological well-being; data from 10,744 individuals from the Lolland-Falster health study.Journal of multimorbidity and comorbidityArticle
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
11 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundWe aimed to quantify the association between chronic musculoskeletal pain and all-cause mortality, and to investigate the extent to which this association is mediated by physical activity, smoking status, alcohol consumption, and opioid use.
methodsFor this population-based cohort study, we used data from UK Biobank, UK between baseline visit (2006-2010) to 18th December 2020. We assessed the associations between chronic musculoskeletal pain and all-cause mortality using a Cox proportional hazards model. We performed causal mediation analyses to examine the proportion of the association between chronic musculoskeletal pain and all-cause mortality.
findingsOf the 384,367 included participants, a total of 187,269 participants reported chronic musculoskeletal pain. Higher number of pain sites was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality compared to having no pain (e.g., four sites vs no site of pain, Hazard Ratio [HR] 1.46, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.35 to 1.57). The multiple mediator analyses showed that the mediating proportions of all four mediators ranged from 53.4% to 122.6%: among participants with two or more pain sites, the effect estimate reduced substantially, for example, HR reduced from 1.25 (95% CI: 1.21 to 1.30; two pain sites) to 1.07 (95% CI: 1.01 to 1.11; two pain sites).
interpretationWe found that higher number of pain sites was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality compared to having no pain, and at least half of the association of chronic musculoskeletal pain with increased all-cause mortality may be accounted for by four mediators.
fundingTwins Research Australia.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.