Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34815562›Full record

ReviewNature reviews. Neuroscience2022

The probabilistic model of Alzheimer disease: the amyloid hypothesis revised.

Giovanni B Frisoni, Daniele Altomare, Dietmar Rudolf Thal, Federica Ribaldi, Rik van der Kant, Rik Ossenkoppele, Kaj Blennow, Jeffrey Cummings, Cornelia van Duijn, Peter M Nilsson and 3 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Nature reviews. Neuroscience, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 271 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
271citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

271 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
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  14. Modular brain networks shape amyloid-driven tau spread and cognitive decline.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Defining Alzheimer's disease: stipulations and the ethics of diagnostic change.Journal of neurology, neurosurgery, and psychiatry · 2026
    Article
  20. Article

211 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Giovanni B FrisoniLaboratory of Neuroimaging of Aging (LANVIE), University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland. giovanni.frisoni@unige.ch.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7075-7082
Daniele AltomareLaboratory of Neuroimaging of Aging (LANVIE), University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1905-8993
Dietmar Rudolf ThalLaboratory for Neuropathology, Department of Imaging and Pathology, and Leuven Brain Institute, University of Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1036-1075
Federica RibaldiLaboratory of Neuroimaging of Aging (LANVIE), University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9208-4472
Rik van der KantAlzheimer Center Amsterdam, Department of Neurology, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Rik OssenkoppeleAlzheimer Center Amsterdam, Department of Neurology, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Kaj BlennowCinical Neurochemistry Laboratory, Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, University of Gothenburg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Mölndal, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1890-4193
Jeffrey CummingsChambers-Grundy Center for Transformative Neuroscience, Department of Brain Health, School of Integrated Health Sciences; University of Nevada, Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV, USA.
Cornelia van DuijnDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2374-9204
Peter M NilssonDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Lund University, Skåne University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5652-8459
Pierre-Yves DietrichDepartment of Oncology, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland.
Philip ScheltensAlzheimer Center Amsterdam, Department of Neurology, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Bruno DuboisInstitut de la Mémoire et de la Maladie d'Alzheimer, IM2A, Groupe Hospitalier Pitié-Salpêtrière, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France.

Funding

Trial-Ready Cohort for Preclinical/Prodromal Alzheimer's DiseaseR01AG053798 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI AISEN, PAUL S., CUMMINGS, JEFFREY L. · 2017 to 2022
$39.4M
Research Education ComponentP30AG072980 · NIA · BANNER HEALTH · PI Nicholas Ashton · 2021 to 2026
$24.9M
Renewal of Centers of Biomedical Research Excellence (COBRE) (Phase 2) CNTN - ResubmissionP20GM109025 · NIGMS · CLEVELAND CLINIC FOUNDATION · PI JESSICA KIRKLAND CALDWELL · 2015 to 2026
$22.8M
Chronic Traumatic Encephalopathy: Detection, Diagnosis, Course, and Risk FactorsU01NS093334 · NINDS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI CUMMINGS, JEFFREY L., REIMAN, ERIC MICHAEL · 2016 to 2022
$17.0M
NVEDARC Clinical CoreP20AG068053 · NIA · CLEVELAND CLINIC FOUNDATION · PI FOX, ROBERT J. · 2020 to 2022
$3.3M
NIA NIH HHS P20 AG068053NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072980NIA NIH HHS R01 AG053798NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM109025NINDS NIH HHS U01 NS093334
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The current conceptualization of Alzheimer disease (AD) is driven by the amyloid hypothesis, in which a deterministic chain of events leads from amyloid deposition and then tau deposition to neurodegeneration and progressive cognitive impairment. This model fits autosomal dominant AD but is less applicable to sporadic AD. Owing to emerging information regarding the complex biology of AD and the challenges of developing amyloid-targeting drugs, the amyloid hypothesis needs to be reconsidered. Here we propose a probabilistic model of AD in which three variants of AD (autosomal dominant AD, APOE ε4-related sporadic AD and APOE ε4-unrelated sporadic AD) feature decreasing penetrance and decreasing weight of the amyloid pathophysiological cascade, and increasing weight of stochastic factors (environmental exposures and lower-risk genes). Together, these variants account for a large share of the neuropathological and clinical variability observed in people with AD. The implementation of this model in research might lead to a better understanding of disease pathophysiology, a revision of the current clinical taxonomy and accelerated development of strategies to prevent and treat AD.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAlzheimer DiseaseAmyloidAmyloid beta-PeptidesAmyloid NeuropathiesAnimalsHumanstau ProteinsAmyloidAmyloid beta-PeptidesMAPT protein, humantau Proteins

Identifiers

PMID34815562
PMCPMC8840505

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.