ArticleTurkish journal of biology = Turk biyoloji dergisi2021
The effect of weekend curfews on epidemics: a Monte Carlo simulation.
Article in Turkish journal of biology = Turk biyoloji dergisi, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- COVID-19 modeling based on real geographic and population data.Turkish journal of medical sciences · 2023Article
- Towards predicting COVID-19 infection waves: A random-walk Monte Carlo simulation approach.Chaos, solitons, and fractals · 2022Article
- A Chess and Card Room-Induced COVID-19 Outbreak and Its Agent-Based Simulation in Yangzhou, China.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
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2 authors.
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Abstract
The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is being responded with various methods, applying vaccines, experimental treatment options, total lockdowns or partial curfews. Weekend curfews are among the methods for reducing the number of infected persons, and this method is practically applied in some countries such as Turkey. In this study, the effect of weekend curfews on reducing the spread of a contagious disease, such as COVID-19, is modeled using a Monte Carlo algorithm with a hybrid lattice model. In the simulation setup, a fictional country with three towns and 26,610 citizens were used as a model. Results indicate that applying a weekend curfew reduces the ratio of ill cases from 0.23 to 0.15. The results also show that applying personal precautions such as social distancing is important for reducing the number of cases and deaths. If the probability of disease spread can be reduced to 0.1, in that case, the death ratio can be minimized down to 0.
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