Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34802277›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences2022

A global assessment of the impact of school closure in reducing COVID-19 spread.

Joseph T Wu, Shujiang Mei, Sihui Luo, Kathy Leung, Di Liu, Qiuying Lv, Jian Liu, Yuan Li, Kiesha Prem, Mark Jit and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Extensive SARS-CoV-2 testing reveals BA.1/BA.2 asymptomatic rates and underreporting in school children.Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2023
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Modeling COVID-19 Transmission Dynamics: A Bibliometric Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Data science approaches to infectious disease surveillance.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Review
  10. A global assessment of the impact of school closure in reducing COVID-19 spread.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Joseph T WuWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, People's Republic of China.
Shujiang MeiDepartment of Communicable Diseases Control and Prevention, Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen 518055, People's Republic of China.
Sihui LuoThe First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Science and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, People's Republic of China.
Kathy LeungWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0003-4777-388X
Di LiuWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, People's Republic of China.
Qiuying LvDepartment of Communicable Diseases Control and Prevention, Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen 518055, People's Republic of China.
Jian LiuAnqing Hospital Affiliated to Anhui Medical University (Anqing Municipal Hospital), Anqing, People's Republic of China.
Yuan LiDepartment of Communicable Diseases Control and Prevention, Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen 518055, People's Republic of China.
Kiesha PremCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Mark JitWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, People's Republic of China.
Jianping WengThe First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Science and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, People's Republic of China.
Tiejian FengDepartment of Communicable Diseases Control and Prevention, Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen 518055, People's Republic of China.
Xueying ZhengThe First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Science and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, People's Republic of China.
Gabriel M LeungWHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, People's Republic of China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Prolonged school closure has been adopted worldwide to control COVID-19. Indeed, UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization figures show that two-thirds of an academic year was lost on average worldwide due to COVID-19 school closures. Such pre-emptive implementation was predicated on the premise that school children are a core group for COVID-19 transmission. Using surveillance data from the Chinese cities of Shenzhen and Anqing together, we inferred that compared with the elderly aged 60 and over, children aged 18 and under and adults aged 19-59 were 75% and 32% less susceptible to infection, respectively. Using transmission models parametrized with synthetic contact matrices for 177 jurisdictions around the world, we showed that the lower susceptibility of school children substantially limited the effectiveness of school closure in reducing COVID-19 transmissibility. Our results, together with recent findings that clinical severity of COVID-19 in children is lower, suggest that school closure may not be ideal as a sustained, primary intervention for controlling COVID-19. This article is part of the theme issue 'Data science approach to infectious disease surveillance'.

Indexed as

COVID-19AgedChildHumansMiddle AgedSARS-CoV-2SchoolsCOVID-19epidemiologyinfectiousnessSARS-CoV-2school closuresusceptibility

Identifiers

PMID34802277
PMCPMC8607143

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.