Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34799585›Full record

Observational studyNature communications2021

Dynamic recurrence risk and adjuvant chemotherapy benefit prediction by ctDNA in resected NSCLC.

Bin Qiu, Wei Guo, Fan Zhang, Fang Lv, Ying Ji, Yue Peng, Xiaoxi Chen, Hua Bao, Yang Xu, Yang Shao and 4 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06718309 (A Prospective Cohort Study of Chemotherapy Plus Immunotherapy Combined With Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy as Neoadjuvant Therapy for Patients With Resectable Non-small Cell Lung Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 170 papers, 13 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
170citing papers in PubMed, 13 pooled it
20.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06718309 phase2recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

A Prospective Cohort Study of Chemotherapy Plus Immunotherapy Combined With Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy as Neoadjuvant Therapy for Patients With Resectable Non-small Cell Lung Cancer

TypeinterventionalSponsorFirst People's Hospital of HangzhouRan2024 to 2029Enrolled40ConditionsNon-Small Cell Lung CancerArmsChemotherapy, Immunotherapy, Radical resection of lung cancer, SBRT
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

170 citing papers in PubMed, 13 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 274 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Prognostic value of postoperative circulating tumor DNA for recurrence-free survival in resected non-small cell lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
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  2. [Liquid Biopsy Revolutionizes the Precise Management of Tumors Across the Entire Course: Current Situation and Future Prospects].Sichuan da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Sichuan University. Medical science edition · 2026
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110 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Bin Qiu *Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Wei Guo *Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8302-8292
Fan ZhangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Fang LvDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Ying JiDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Yue PengDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Xiaoxi ChenGeneseeq Research Institute, Nanjing Geneseeq Technology Inc, Nanjing, China.
Hua BaoGeneseeq Research Institute, Nanjing Geneseeq Technology Inc, Nanjing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5774-8755
Yang XuGeneseeq Research Institute, Nanjing Geneseeq Technology Inc, Nanjing, China.
Yang ShaoGeneseeq Research Institute, Nanjing Geneseeq Technology Inc, Nanjing, China.ORCID 0000-0003-4585-1792
Fengwei TanDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Qi XueDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Shugeng GaoDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China. gaoshugeng@vip.sina.com.ORCID 0000-0003-1888-2622
Jie HeDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0285-5403
Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accurately evaluating minimal residual disease (MRD) could facilitate early intervention and personalized adjuvant therapies. Here, using ultradeep targeted next-generation sequencing (NGS), we evaluate the clinical utility of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) for dynamic recurrence risk and adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) benefit prediction in resected non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Both postsurgical and post-ACT ctDNA positivity are significantly associated with worse recurrence-free survival. In stage II-III patients, the postsurgical ctDNA positive group benefit from ACT, while ctDNA negative patients have a low risk of relapse regardless of whether or not ACT is administered. During disease surveillance, ctDNA positivity precedes radiological recurrence by a median of 88 days. Using joint modeling of longitudinal ctDNA analysis and time-to-recurrence, we accurately predict patients' postsurgical 12-month and 15-month recurrence status. Our findings reveal longitudinal ctDNA analysis as a promising tool to detect MRD in NSCLC, and we show pioneering work of using postsurgical ctDNA status to guide ACT and applying joint modeling to dynamically predict recurrence risk, although the results need to be further confirmed in future studies.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorCarcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungChemotherapy, AdjuvantCirculating Tumor DNAClinical Decision-MakingDisease-Free SurvivalDNA Mutational AnalysisFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLung NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedMutationNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalNeoplasm, ResidualBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNA

Identifiers

PMID34799585
PMCPMC8605017
OpenAlexW3214051991

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.