Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34797445›Full record

ArticleDigestive diseases and sciences2022

External Validation of the FIPS Score for Post-TIPS Mortality in a National Veterans Affairs Cohort.

Sara E Chapin, David S Goldberg, David E Kaplan, Nadim Mahmud

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Digestive diseases and sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
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  3. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Sara E ChapinDepartment of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
David S GoldbergDivision of Digestive Health and Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA.
David E KaplanDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Nadim MahmudDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA. nadim@pennmedicine.upenn.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-1889-3954
Philadelphia VA Medical Center · USUniversity of Miami · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · US

Funding

Using ethics, epidemiology and high-quality data to optimize the allocation of livers for transplantationR01DK120561 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI GOLDBERG, DAVID SETH · 2019 to 2023
$2.7M
Improving Surgical Risk Prediction and Decision Making among Patients with CirrhosisK08DK124577 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI MAHMUD, NADIM · 2021 to 2025
$835k
Cross-comparison of patient-derived xenografts and derivative organoids and cell lines for translational research in hepatocellular carcinomaI01CX001933 · VA · PHILADELPHIA VA MEDICAL CENTER · PI GADE, TERENCE P · 2020 to 2023
–
Effect of simvastatin on hepatic decompensation and death in subjects with high-risk compensated cirrhosisI01CX002010 · VA · PHILADELPHIA VA MEDICAL CENTER · PI David E Kaplan, Tamar Taddei · 2020 to 2026
–
CSRD VA I01 CX001933CSRD VA I01 CX002010NIDDK NIH HHS K08 DK124577NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK120561
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival (FIPS) score was recently demonstrated to improve prediction of post-TIPS mortality relative to existing standards. As this score was derived from a German cohort over an extended time period, it is unclear if performance will translate well to other settings. This study aimed to externally validate the FIPS score in a large Veterans Affairs (VA) cohort over two separate eras of TIPS-related care.

methodsThis was a retrospective cohort study of patients with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS placement in the VA from 2008 to 2020. Cox regression models for post-TIPS survival were constructed using FIPS, MELD, MELD-Na, or CTP scores as predictors. Discrimination (Harrell's C) and calibration (joint tests of calibration curve slope and intercept) were evaluated for each score. A stratified analysis was performed for time periods between 2008-2013 and 2014-2020.

resultsThe cohort of 1,274 patients was 97.3% male with mean age 60.9 years and mean MELD-Na 14. The FIPS score demonstrated the highest overall discrimination versus MELD, MELD-Na, and CTP (0.634 vs. 0.585, 0.626, 0.612, respectively). However, in the modern treatment era (2014-2020), the FIPS score performed similarly to MELD-Na. Additionally, the FIPS score demonstrated poor calibration at one-month and six-month post-TIPS timepoints (joint p = 0.04 and 0.004, respectively). MELD, MELD-Na, and CTP were well-calibrated at each timepoint (each joint p > 0.05).

conclusionThe FIPS score performed similarly to MELD-Na in the modern TIPS treatment era and demonstrated regions of poor calibration. Future models derived with contemporary data may improve prediction of post-TIPS mortality.

Indexed as

Portasystemic Shunt, Transjugular IntrahepaticVeteransCohort StudiesFemaleHumansLiver CirrhosisMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSeverity of Illness IndexCirrhosisFIPSMELD-NaPrediction modelingTIPS

Identifiers

PMID34797445
PMCPMC9117561
OpenAlexW3212317079

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.