Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34795424›Full record

ReviewNature human behaviour2021

Prepare developed democracies for long-run economic slowdowns.

Matthew G Burgess, Amanda R Carrico, Steven D Gaines, Alessandro Peri, Steve Vanderheiden

Open access · bronzeAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Nature human behaviour, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Matthew G BurgessCooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA. matthew.g.burgess@colorado.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3750-4347
Amanda R CarricoEnvironmental Studies Program, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8571-8238
Steven D GainesBren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, USA.
Alessandro PeriDepartment of Economics, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
Steve VanderheidenEnvironmental Studies Program, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
University of Colorado Boulder · USCooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences · USUniversity of California, Santa Barbara · US

Funding

University of Colorado Population CenterP2CHD066613 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO · PI JANE A MENKEN · 2015 to 2026
$3.7M
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD066613
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Developed democracies proliferated over the past two centuries during an unprecedented era of economic growth, which may be ending. Macroeconomic forecasts predict slowing growth throughout the twenty-first century for structural reasons such as ageing populations, shifts from goods to services, slowing innovation, and debt. Long-run effects of COVID-19 and climate change could further slow growth. Some sustainability scientists assert that slower growth, stagnation or de-growth is an environmental imperative, especially in developed countries. Whether slow growth is inevitable or planned, we argue that developed democracies should prepare for additional fiscal and social stress, some of which is already apparent. We call for a 'guided civic revival', including government and civic efforts aimed at reducing inequality, socially integrating diverse populations and building shared identities, increasing economic opportunity for youth, improving return on investment in taxation and public spending, strengthening formal democratic institutions and investing to improve non-economic drivers of subjective well-being.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeCOVID-19DemocracyDeveloped CountriesEconomicsSociological FactorsEconomic DevelopmentHumans

Identifiers

PMID34795424
PMCPMC9026903
OpenAlexW3211600365

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.