Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34795275›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Decadal-scale onset and termination of Antarctic ice-mass loss during the last deglaciation.

Michael E Weber, Nicholas R Golledge, Chris J Fogwill, Chris S M Turney, Zoë A Thomas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Deglacial stratification of the polar Southern Ocean.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Millennial-scale variability of the Antarctic ice sheet during the early Miocene.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Michael E WeberInstitute for Geosciences, Department of Geochemistry and Petrology, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany. mike.weber@uni-bonn.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2175-8980
Nicholas R GolledgeAntarctic Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7676-8970
Chris J FogwillSchool of Geography, Geology and the Environment, University of Keele, Staffordshire, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6471-1106
Chris S M TurneyEarth and Sustainability Science Research Centre, School of Biological Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6733-0993
Zoë A ThomasEarth and Sustainability Science Research Centre, School of Biological Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2323-4366

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Emerging ice-sheet modeling suggests once initiated, retreat of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) can continue for centuries. Unfortunately, the short observational record cannot resolve the tipping points, rate of change, and timescale of responses. Iceberg-rafted debris data from Iceberg Alley identify eight retreat phases after the Last Glacial Maximum that each destabilized the AIS within a decade, contributing to global sea-level rise for centuries to a millennium, which subsequently re-stabilized equally rapidly. This dynamic response of the AIS is supported by (i) a West Antarctic blue ice record of ice-elevation drawdown >600 m during three such retreat events related to globally recognized deglacial meltwater pulses, (ii) step-wise retreat up to 400 km across the Ross Sea shelf, (iii) independent ice sheet modeling, and (iv) tipping point analysis. Our findings are consistent with a growing body of evidence suggesting the recent acceleration of AIS mass loss may mark the beginning of a prolonged period of ice sheet retreat and substantial global sea level rise.

Identifiers

PMID34795275
PMCPMC8602255

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.