Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34794434›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2021

SARS-CoV-2 exposure in Malawian blood donors: an analysis of seroprevalence and variant dynamics between January 2020 and July 2021.

Jonathan Mandolo, Jacquline Msefula, Marc Y R Henrion, Comfort Brown, Brewster Moyo, Aubrey Samon, Thandeka Moyo-Gwete, Zanele Makhado, Frances Ayres, Thopisang Motlou and 13 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Observational
  4. Article
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  7. Article
  8. Rethinking the evidence on COVID-19 in Africa.The Lancet. Infectious diseases · 2025
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Mortality risk information and health-seeking behavior during an epidemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Characterizing the evolving SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in urban and rural Malawi between February 2021 and April 2022: A population-based cohort study.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
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  19. Article
  20. The evolution of SARS-CoV-2.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2023
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Jonathan Mandolo *Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme (MLW), Blantyre, Malawi.
Jacquline Msefula *Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme (MLW), Blantyre, Malawi.
Marc Y R HenrionMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme (MLW), Blantyre, Malawi.
Comfort BrownMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme (MLW), Blantyre, Malawi.
Brewster MoyoMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme (MLW), Blantyre, Malawi.
Aubrey SamonMalawi Blood Transfusion Services (MBTS), Blantyre, Malawi.
Thandeka Moyo-GweteNational Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Services, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Zanele MakhadoNational Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Services, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Frances AyresNational Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Services, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Thopisang MotlouNational Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Services, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Nonkululeko MzindleNational Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Services, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Newton KalataMalawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme (MLW), Blantyre, Malawi.
Adamson S MuulaKamuzu University of Health Sciences (KUHes), Blantyre, Malawi.
Gaurav KwatraRespiratory and Meningeal Pathogens Research Unit, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Natasha NsamalaMalawi Blood Transfusion Services (MBTS), Blantyre, Malawi.
Andrew LikakaMalawi Blood Transfusion Services (MBTS), Blantyre, Malawi.
Thom MfuneMalawi Blood Transfusion Services (MBTS), Blantyre, Malawi.
Penny L MooreNational Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Services, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Bridon MbayaMalawi Blood Transfusion Services (MBTS), Blantyre, Malawi.
Neil FrenchUniversity of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Robert S HeydermanNIHR Global Health Research Unit on Mucosal Pathogens, Research Department of Infection, Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK.
Todd Swarthout *Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme (MLW), Blantyre, Malawi.
Kondwani C Jambo *Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme (MLW), Blantyre, Malawi. Kondwani.Jambo@lstmed.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-3195-2210

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/T008822/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBy August 2021, the COVID-19 pandemic has been less severe in sub-Saharan Africa than elsewhere. In Malawi, there have been three subsequent epidemic waves. We therefore aimed to describe the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 exposure in Malawi.

methodsWe measured the seroprevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies amongst randomly selected blood transfusion donor sera in Malawi from January 2020 to July 2021 using a cross-sectional study design. In a subset, we also assessed in vitro neutralisation against the original variant (D614G WT) and the Beta variant.

resultsA total of 5085 samples were selected from the blood donor database, of which 4075 (80.1%) were aged 20-49 years. Of the total, 1401 were seropositive. After adjustment for assay characteristics and applying population weights, seropositivity reached peaks in October 2020 (18.5%) and May 2021 (64.9%) reflecting the first two epidemic waves. Unlike the first wave, both urban and rural areas had high seropositivity in the second wave, Balaka (rural, 66.2%, April 2021), Blantyre (urban, 75.6%, May 2021), Lilongwe (urban, 78.0%, May 2021), and Mzuzu (urban, 74.6%, April 2021). Blantyre and Mzuzu also show indications of the start of a third pandemic wave with seroprevalence picking up again in July 2021 (Blantyre, 81.7%; Mzuzu, 71.0%). More first wave sera showed in vitro neutralisation activity against the original variant (78% [7/9]) than the beta variant (22% [2/9]), while more second wave sera showed neutralisation activity against the beta variant (75% [12/16]) than the original variant (63% [10/16]).

conclusionThe findings confirm extensive SARS-CoV-2 exposure in Malawi over two epidemic waves with likely poor cross-protection to reinfection from the first on the second wave. The dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 exposure will therefore need to be taken into account in the formulation of the COVID-19 vaccination policy in Malawi and across the region. Future studies should use an adequate sample size for the assessment of neutralisation activity across a panel of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern/interest to estimate community immunity.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2Antibodies, ViralBlood DonorsCOVID-19 VaccinesCross-Sectional StudiesHumansPandemicsSeroepidemiologic StudiesAntibodies, ViralCOVID-19 VaccinesBlood donorsMalawiSARS-CoV-2Seroprevalence

Identifiers

PMID34794434
PMCPMC8601780

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.