Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34793573›Full record

ArticlePloS one2021

Lessons learned from the rapid development of a statewide simulation model for predicting COVID-19's impact on healthcare resources and capacity.

Stacy Endres-Dighe, Kasey Jones, Emily Hadley, Alexander Preiss, Caroline Kery, Marie Stoner, Susan Eversole, Sarah Rhea

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Evaluating Policies to Decrease the Risk of Introducing SARS-CoV-2 Infections to Nursing Home Facilities.Journal of applied gerontology : the official journal of the Southern Gerontological Society · 2023
    Article
  4. Lessons Learned from the Lessons Learned in Public Health during the First Years of COVID-19 Pandemic.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Review
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Stacy Endres-DigheRTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-4192-2234
Kasey JonesRTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-9154-9079
Emily HadleyRTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.
Alexander PreissRTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.
Caroline KeryRTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.
Marie StonerRTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.
Susan EversoleRTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.
Sarah RheaRTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The first case of COVID-19 was detected in North Carolina (NC) on March 3, 2020. By the end of April, the number of confirmed cases had soared to over 10,000. NC health systems faced intense strain to support surging intensive care unit admissions and avert hospital capacity and resource saturation. Forecasting techniques can be used to provide public health decision makers with reliable data needed to better prepare for and respond to public health crises. Hospitalization forecasts in particular play an important role in informing pandemic planning and resource allocation. These forecasts are only relevant, however, when they are accurate, made available quickly, and updated frequently. To support the pressing need for reliable COVID-19 data, RTI adapted a previously developed geospatially explicit healthcare facility network model to predict COVID-19's impact on healthcare resources and capacity in NC. The model adaptation was an iterative process requiring constant evolution to meet stakeholder needs and inform epidemic progression in NC. Here we describe key steps taken, challenges faced, and lessons learned from adapting and implementing our COVID-19 model and coordinating with university, state, and federal partners to combat the COVID-19 epidemic in NC.

Indexed as

COVID-19Delivery of Health CareForecastingHospital Bed CapacityHospitalizationHumansIntensive Care UnitsNorth CarolinaPandemics

Identifiers

PMID34793573
PMCPMC8601549

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.