Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34786318›Full record

ArticleIEEE access : practical innovations, open solutions2021

Development and Validation of an Early Scoring System for Prediction of Disease Severity in COVID-19 Using Complete Blood Count Parameters.

Tawsifur Rahman, Amith Khandakar, Md Enamul Hoque, Nabil Ibtehaz, Saad Bin Kashem, Reehum Masud, Lutfunnahar Shampa, Mohammad Mehedi Hasan, Mohammad Tariqul Islam, Somaya Al-Maadeed and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in IEEE access : practical innovations, open solutions, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  7. Acute Effects of Facial Coverings on Anaerobic Exercise Performance in College-Aged Adults.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Tawsifur RahmanDepartment of Electrical EngineeringQatar University Doha Qatar.
Amith KhandakarDepartment of Electrical EngineeringQatar University Doha Qatar.
Md Enamul HoqueDepartment of Biomedical EngineeringMilitary Institute of Science and Technology Dhaka 1216 Bangladesh.
Nabil IbtehazDepartment of Computer Science and EngineeringBangladesh University of Engineering and Technology Dhaka 1205 Bangladesh.
Saad Bin KashemFaculty of Robotics and Advanced ComputingQatar Armed Forces-Academic Bridge Program, Qatar Foundation Doha Qatar.
Reehum MasudCOVID Isolation UnitUnited Hospitals, Ltd. Dhaka 1212 Bangladesh.
Lutfunnahar ShampaDepartment of Obstetrics and GynecologyDhaka Medical College Hospital (COVID UNIT) Dhaka 1000 Bangladesh.
Mohammad Mehedi HasanDhaka North City Corporation COVID Hospital Dhaka 1208 Bangladesh.
Mohammad Tariqul IslamDepartment of Electrical, Electronics and Systems EngineeringUniversiti Kebangsaan Malaysia Bangi Selangor 43600 Malaysia.
Somaya Al-MaadeedDepartment of Computer Science and EngineeringQatar University Doha Qatar.
Susu M ZughaierDepartment of Basic Medical SciencesCollege of MedicineQU Health, Qatar University Doha Qatar.
Saif BadranDepartment of Plastic SurgeryHamad Medical Corporation Doha Qatar.
Suhail A R DoiDepartment of Population MedicineCollege of MedicineQU Health, Qatar University Doha Qatar.
Muhammad E H ChowdhuryDepartment of Electrical EngineeringQatar University Doha Qatar.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) after outbreaking in Wuhan increasingly spread throughout the world. Fast, reliable, and easily accessible clinical assessment of the severity of the disease can help in allocating and prioritizing resources to reduce mortality. The objective of the study was to develop and validate an early scoring tool to stratify the risk of death using readily available complete blood count (CBC) biomarkers. A retrospective study was conducted on twenty-three CBC blood biomarkers for predicting disease mortality for 375 COVID-19 patients admitted to Tongji Hospital, China from January 10 to February 18, 2020. Machine learning based key biomarkers among the CBC parameters as the mortality predictors were identified. A multivariate logistic regression-based nomogram and a scoring system was developed to categorize the patients in three risk groups (low, moderate, and high) for predicting the mortality risk among COVID-19 patients. Lymphocyte count, neutrophils count, age, white blood cell count, monocytes (%), platelet count, red blood cell distribution width parameters collected at hospital admission were selected as important biomarkers for death prediction using random forest feature selection technique. A CBC score was devised for calculating the death probability of the patients and was used to categorize the patients into three sub-risk groups: low (<=5%), moderate (>5% and <=50%), and high (>50%), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) of the model for the development and internal validation cohort were 0.961 and 0.88, respectively. The proposed model was further validated with an external cohort of 103 patients of Dhaka Medical College, Bangladesh, which exhibits in an AUC of 0.963. The proposed CBC parameter-based prognostic model and the associated web-application, can help the medical doctors to improve the management by early prediction of mortality risk of the COVID-19 patients in the low-resource countries.

Indexed as

Complete blood countCOVID-19early prediction of mortality riskmachine learningprognostic model

Identifiers

PMID34786318
PMCPMC8545188

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.