Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34783191›Full record

ArticleHepatology communications2022

Predicting Liver-Related Outcomes in People With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: The Prognostic Value of Noninvasive Fibrosis Tests.

Amy L Johnson, Kelly L Hayward, Preya Patel, Leigh U Horsfall, Alvin Ee Zhiun Cheah, Katharine M Irvine, Anthony W Russell, Katherine A Stuart, Sue Williams, Gunter Hartel and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
4.4field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Enhanced Liver Fibrosis Test, FIB-4 and FibroScan: Real-World Prognostic Accuracy for MASLD in a Biopsy-Controlled Cohort.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Observational
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  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. [Liver fibrosis screening, evaluation pathway, and management in patients with fatty liver].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2023
    Review
  15. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Amy L JohnsonCentre for Liver Disease Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, Translational Research Institute, Woolloongabba, QLD, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-7486-4413
Kelly L HaywardCentre for Liver Disease Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, Translational Research Institute, Woolloongabba, QLD, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-6115-3420
Preya PatelInstitute for Liver and Digestive Health, University College London Division of Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Leigh U HorsfallCentre for Liver Disease Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, Translational Research Institute, Woolloongabba, QLD, Australia.
Alvin Ee Zhiun CheahDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Woolloongabba, QLD, Australia.
Katharine M IrvineCentre for Liver Disease Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, Translational Research Institute, Woolloongabba, QLD, Australia.
Anthony W RussellFaculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Katherine A StuartDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Woolloongabba, QLD, Australia.
Sue WilliamsInala Primary Care, Inala, QLD, Australia.
Gunter HartelQIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Herston, QLD, Australia.
Patricia C Valery *Centre for Liver Disease Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, Translational Research Institute, Woolloongabba, QLD, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8823-3006
Elizabeth E Powell *Centre for Liver Disease Research, Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, Translational Research Institute, Woolloongabba, QLD, Australia.
Translational Research Institute · AUPrincess Alexandra Hospital · AUInala Community Health Centre · AUNational Health Service · GBQIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute · AUThe University of Queensland · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

It remains unclear whether screening for advanced fibrosis in the community can identify the subgroup of people with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) at higher risk for development of liver-related complications. We aimed to determine the prognostic value of baseline noninvasive fibrosis tests for predicting liver-related outcomes and mortality in patients with NAFLD from type 2 diabetes (T2D) clinics or primary care. Patients (n = 243) who were screened for NAFLD with advanced fibrosis by using NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), fibrosis 4 score (FIB-4), enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test, and liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) were followed up for clinical outcomes by review of electronic medical records. During a median follow-up of 50 months, decompensated liver disease or primary liver cancer occurred in 6 of 35 (17.1%) patients with baseline LSM > 13 kPa, 1 of 17 (5.9%) patients with LSM 9.5-13 kPa, and in no patients with LSM < 9.5 kPa. No patient with low-risk NFS developed liver decompensation or liver-related mortality. Following repeat NFSs at the end of follow-up, all patients with a liver-related complication were in the high-risk NFS category. Patients who developed liver-related complications were also more likely to have baseline high-risk FIB-4 scores or ELF test ≥9.8 compared to patients who did not develop liver outcomes. Conclusion: Liver fibrosis risk stratification in non-hepatology settings can identify the subset of patients at risk of liver-related complications. Although the rate of development of a decompensation event or hepatocellular carcinoma was low (2.1% per year) in our patients with compensated cirrhosis (LSM > 13 kPa), these events are projected to lead to a substantial increase in NAFLD-related disease burden over the next decade due to the high prevalence of NAFLD in people with obesity and T2D.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Liver NeoplasmsNon-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseHumansLiver CirrhosisPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID34783191
PMCPMC8948588
OpenAlexW3213863509

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.