Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34782836›Full record

ArticleComputational intelligence and neuroscience2021

Modelling the COVID-19 Mortality Rate with a New Versatile Modification of the Log-Logistic Distribution.

Abdisalam Hassan Muse, Ahlam H Tolba, Eman Fayad, Ola A Abu Ali, M Nagy, M Yusuf

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Computational intelligence and neuroscience, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

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  7. The distribution of COVID-19 mortality.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Abdisalam Hassan MuseDepartment of Mathematics (Statistics Option) Programme, Pan African University, Institute of Basic Science, Technology and Innovation (PAUSTI), Nairobi 6200-00200, Kenya.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4905-0044
Ahlam H TolbaDepartment of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Mansoura University, Mansoura 35516, Egypt.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8938-9187
Eman FayadDepartment of Biotechnology, College of Science, Taif University, P.O. Box 11099, Taif 21944, Saudi Arabia.
Ola A Abu AliDepartment of Chemistry, College of Science, Taif University, P.O. Box 11099, Taif 21944, Saudi Arabia.
M NagyDepartment of Statistics and Operation Research, Faculty of Science, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
M YusufDepartment of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Helwan University, Cairo, Egypt.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1567-6383

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The goal of this paper is to develop an optimal statistical model to analyze COVID-19 data in order to model and analyze the COVID-19 mortality rates in Somalia. Combining the log-logistic distribution and the tangent function yields the flexible extension log-logistic tangent (LLT) distribution, a new two-parameter distribution. This new distribution has a number of excellent statistical and mathematical properties, including a simple failure rate function, reliability function, and cumulative distribution function. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is used to estimate the unknown parameters of the proposed distribution. A numerical and visual result of the Monte Carlo simulation is obtained to evaluate the use of the MLE method. In addition, the LLT model is compared to the well-known two-parameter, three-parameter, and four-parameter competitors. Gompertz, log-logistic, kappa, exponentiated log-logistic, Marshall-Olkin log-logistic, Kumaraswamy log-logistic, and beta log-logistic are among the competing models. Different goodness-of-fit measures are used to determine whether the LLT distribution is more useful than the competing models in COVID-19 data of mortality rate analysis.

Indexed as

COVID-19HumansModels, StatisticalMonte Carlo MethodReproducibility of ResultsSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID34782836
PMCPMC8590594

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.