Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34782650›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2021

Correlating heatwaves and relative humidity with suicide (fatal intentional self-harm).

Fernando Florido Ngu, Ilan Kelman, Jonathan Chambers, Sonja Ayeb-Karlsson

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 29 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  13. Lethal Heat and Humidity Events.Annual review of environment and resources · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Fernando Florido NguInstitute for Risk and Disaster Reduction, University College London, London, UK.
Ilan KelmanInstitute for Risk and Disaster Reduction, University College London, London, UK. ilan_kelman@hotmail.com.
Jonathan ChambersInstitute for Environmental Science, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Sonja Ayeb-KarlssonUniversity of Sussex, Brighton, UK.

Funding

Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 209734/Z/17/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Empirical evidence suggests that the effects of anthropogenic climate change, and heat in particular, could have a significant impact on mental health. This article investigates the correlation between heatwaves and/or relative humidity and suicide (fatal intentional self-harm) on a global scale. The covariance between heat/humidity and suicide was modelled using a negative binomial Poisson regression with data from 60 countries between 1979-2016. Statistically significant increases and decreases in suicide were found, as well as many cases with no significant correlation. We found that relative humidity showed a more significant correlation with suicide compared to heatwaves and that both younger age groups and women seemed to be more significantly affected by changes in humidity and heatwave counts in comparison with the rest of the population. Further research is needed to provide a larger and more consistent basis for epidemiological studies; to understand better the connections among heat, humidity and mental health; and to explore in more detail which population groups are particularly impacted and why.

Indexed as

Hot TemperatureHumidityInfrared RaysAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolClimate ChangeFemaleGeographyGlobal HealthHumansMaleMental Health

Identifiers

PMID34782650
PMCPMC8593067

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.