ArticleNonlinear dynamics2022
Design a robust sliding mode controller based on the state and parameter estimation for the nonlinear epidemiological model of Covid-19.
Article in Nonlinear dynamics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Predictive models for health outcomes due to SARS-CoV-2, including the effect of vaccination: a systematic review.Systematic reviews · 2024Pooled it
- Integrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling: a scoping review of opportunities and challenges.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Article
- Interval type-2 Fuzzy control and stochastic modeling of COVID-19 spread based on vaccination and social distancing rates.Computer methods and programs in biomedicine · 2023Article
- Preface to the special issue "Complex dynamics of COVID-19: modeling, prediction and control (part II)".Nonlinear dynamics · 2022Article
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3 authors.
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Abstract
In this research, the challenging problem of Covid-19 mitigation is looked at from an engineering point of view. At first, the behavior of coronavirus in the Iranian and Russian societies is expressed by a set of ordinary differential equations. In the proposed model, the control input signals are vaccination, social distance and facial masks, and medical treatment. The unknown parameters of the system are estimated by long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithm. In the LSTM algorithm, the problem of long-term dependency is prevented. The uncertainty and measurement noises are inherent characteristics of epidemiological models. For this reason, an extended Kalman filter (EKF) is developed to estimate the state variables of the proposed model. In continuation, a robust sliding mode controller is designed to control the spread of coronavirus under vaccination, social distance and facial masks, and medical treatment. The stability of the closed-loop system is guaranteed by the Lyapunov theorems. The official confirmed data provided by the Iranian and Russian ministries of health are employed to simulate the proposed algorithms. It is understood from simulation results that global vaccination has the potential to create herd immunity in long term. Under the proposed controller, daily Covid-19 infections and deaths become less than 500 and 10 people, respectively.
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