Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34774336›Full record

ArticleComputers in biology and medicine2022

An agent-based model of the dual causality between individual and collective behaviors in an epidemic.

Gamaliel A Palomo-Briones, Mario Siller, Arnaud Grignard

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Computers in biology and medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Gamaliel A Palomo-BrionesCinvestav Unidad Guadalajara, Av. Del Bosque, 1145, El Bajio, Zapopan, Jal, Mexico. Electronic address: gamaliel.palomo@cinvestav.mx.
Mario SillerCinvestav Unidad Guadalajara, Av. Del Bosque, 1145, El Bajio, Zapopan, Jal, Mexico. Electronic address: mario.siller@cinvestav.mx.
Arnaud GrignardMIT Media Lab., 75 Amherst St, Cambridge, MA, United States. Electronic address: agrignar@media.mit.edu.
Centro de Investigación y de Estudios Avanzados del Instituto Politécnico Nacional · MXHuman Media · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The evolution of an epidemic is strongly related to the behavior of individuals, and the consideration of cause and effect of social phenomena can extend epidemiological models and allow for better identification, prediction and control of the impacts of containment and mitigation measures. This work proposes an agent-based model to simulate the double causality that exists between individual behaviors, influenced by the cultural orientation of a population, and the evolution of an epidemic, focusing on recent studies on the COVID-19 pandemic. To do this, concepts from the social sciences are used, such as the theory of planned behavior, as well as Bayesian inference to abstract the decision-making processes involved in human behavior. A set of simulation experiments with different populations was developed to demonstrate the role that the cultural orientation of a population plays in the management of an epidemic. The results agree with the revised theory, showing that in populations that have a greater inclination towards collectivism, epidemiological indicators evolve in a better way than in those populations where the culture is individualistic. This work contributes to the field of computational epidemiology by providing a new way of including the social aspects of studied populations in agent-based models to help develop better interventions.

Indexed as

COVID-19PandemicsBayes TheoremHumansMass GatheringsSARS-CoV-2Agent-based modelBayesian inferenceCollective behaviorCOVID-19Decision makingEpidemic modeling

Identifiers

PMID34774336
PMCPMC8570178
OpenAlexW3209700795

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.