ReviewThe lancet. HIV2021
The potential impact of country-level migration networks on HIV epidemics in sub-Saharan Africa: the case of Botswana.
Review in The lancet. HIV, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Delineating the "who-where-how" of persistent HIV epidemics: a 23-year longitudinal genetic network, phylodynamic, and spatial analysis for precise intervention in rural China.Emerging microbes & infections · 2026Article
- Global Burden of HIV and Other Sexually Transmitted Infections in Older Men: A Trend Analysis Study.The world journal of men's health · 2026Article
- Contextual Drivers of HIV Vulnerability and Retention in Care in the Central African Republic: An Ecological Analysis.AIDS and behavior · 2026Article
- Epidemiological Features and Temporal Trends of Five Common Sexually Transmitted Infections Excluding HIV, 1990-2021: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study.Journal of medical virology · 2026Article
- Study on the spatial-temporal evolution and influencing factors of AIDS incidence in China from 2006 to 2022.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Metrics of Mobility by Sex are Associated with HIV Incidence in Rural Kenya and Uganda.AIDS and behavior · 2025Article
- Leveraging Smartphone Mobility Data to Understand HIV Risk Among Rural South African Young Adults: Feasibility Study.JMIR mHealth and uHealth · 2025Article
- Effectiveness of catch-up vaccination from 2009 to 2011 on incidence of hepatitis B in Guangzhou, China: a time series analysis.BMC public health · 2025Article
- To what extent are digital health interventions targeting HIV care cascade among mobile populations feasible, acceptable, and effective? A mixed methods systematic review protocol.Systematic reviews · 2025Article
- Retention on antiretroviral therapy and drivers of lost-to-follow up in the Central African Republic: a longitudinal analysis.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2024Article
- Progress towards the UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets in the Fifth Botswana AIDS Impact Survey (BAIS V 2021): a nationally representative survey.The lancet. HIV · 2024Article
- A potential transition from a concentrated to a generalized HIV epidemic: the case of Madagascar.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2023Article
- The role of migration networks in the development of Botswana's generalized HIV epidemic.eLife · 2023Article
- Mobility and HIV care engagement: a research agenda.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2023Review
- Population mobility and the development of Botswana's generalized HIV epidemic: a network analysis.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023Article
- Association between migration paths and mental health of new-generation migrants in China: The mediating effect of social integration.Frontiers in psychiatry · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Generalised HIV epidemics in sub-Saharan Africa show substantial geographical variation in prevalence, which is considered when designing epidemic control strategies. We hypothesise that the migratory behaviour of the general population of countries in sub-Saharan Africa could have a substantial effect on HIV epidemics and challenge the elimination effort. To test this hypothesis, we used census data from 2017 to identify, construct, and visualise the migration network of the population of Botswana, which has one of the most severe HIV epidemics worldwide. We found that, over 12 months, approximately 14% of the population moved their residency from one district to another. Four types of migration occurred: urban-to-urban, rural-to-urban, urban-to-rural, and rural-to-rural. Migration is leading to a marked geographical redistribution of the population, causing high rates of population turnover in some areas, and further concentrating the population in urban areas. The migration network could potentially be having a substantial effect on the HIV epidemic of Botswana: changing the location of high-transmission areas, generating cross-country transmission corridors, creating source-sink dynamics, and undermining control strategies. Large-scale migration networks could present a considerable challenge to eliminating HIV in Botswana and in other countries in sub-Saharan Africa, and should be considered when designing epidemic control strategies.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.