Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34764555›Full record

ArticleApplied intelligence (Dordrecht, Netherlands)2021

Forecasting COVID-19 outbreak progression using hybrid polynomial-Bayesian ridge regression model.

Mohd Saqib

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Applied intelligence (Dordrecht, Netherlands), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Predictive Modeling for Pandemic Forecasting: A COVID-19 Study in New Zealand and Partner Countries.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
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  13. Quest for Optimal Regression Models in SARS-CoV-2 Wastewater Based Epidemiology.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Temporal and spatial analysis of COVID-19 transmission in China and its influencing factors.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2021
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  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Mohd SaqibMathematic and Computing Department, Indian Institute of Technology (Indian School of Mines), Dhanbad, Jharkhand India.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2125-2162

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In 2020, Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the SARS-CoV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Corona Virus 2) Coronavirus, unforeseen pandemic put humanity at big risk and health professionals are facing several kinds of problem due to rapid growth of confirmed cases. That is why some prediction methods are required to estimate the magnitude of infected cases and masses of studies on distinct methods of forecasting are represented so far. In this study, we proposed a hybrid machine learning model that is not only predicted with good accuracy but also takes care of uncertainty of predictions. The model is formulated using Bayesian Ridge Regression hybridized with an n-degree Polynomial and uses probabilistic distribution to estimate the value of the dependent variable instead of using traditional methods. This is a completely mathematical model in which we have successfully incorporated with prior knowledge and posterior distribution enables us to incorporate more upcoming data without storing previous data. Also, L

Indexed as

Bayesian ridge regressionCOVID-19 pandemicMathematical modelingPrediction

Identifiers

PMID34764555
PMCPMC7581693

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.