Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34764317›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2021

The impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic.

Michael Ganslmeier, Davide Furceri, Jonathan D Ostry

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
5.1field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 68 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Michael GanslmeierUniversity of Oxford, 32 Wellington Square, Oxford, OX1 2ER, UK. michael.ganslmeier@spi.ox.ac.uk.
Davide FurceriInternational Monetary Fund, University of Palermo, RCEA, 1900 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC, 20431, USA.
Jonathan D OstryInternational Monetary Fund, CEPR, 1900 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC, 20431, USA.
International Monetary Fund · USUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

Economic and Social Research Council ES/P000649/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Rising temperature levels during spring and summer are often argued to enable lifting of strict containment measures even in the absence of herd immunity. Despite broad scholarly interest in the relationship between weather and coronavirus spread, previous studies come to very mixed results. To contribute to this puzzle, the paper examines the impact of weather on the COVID-19 pandemic using a unique granular dataset of over 1.2 million daily observations covering over 3700 counties in nine countries for all seasons of 2020. Our results show that temperature and wind speed have a robust negative effect on virus spread after controlling for a range of potential confounding factors. These effects, however, are substantially larger during mealtimes, as well as in periods of high mobility and low containment, suggesting an important role for social behaviour.

Indexed as

COVID-19HumansHumidityPandemicsRisk FactorsSARS-CoV-2SeasonsSocial BehaviorTemperatureWeatherWind

Identifiers

PMID34764317
PMCPMC8585954
OpenAlexW3212642323

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.