Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34758486›Full record

ArticleNeural computation2022

A Normative Account of Confirmation Bias During Reinforcement Learning.

Germain Lefebvre, Christopher Summerfield, Rafal Bogacz

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neural computation, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Apparent learning biases emerge from optimal inference: Insights from master equation analysis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Evolving choice hysteresis in reinforcement learning: Comparing the adaptive value of positivity bias and gradual perseveration.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. The roots of polarization in the individual reward system.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Model Sharing in the Human Medial Temporal Lobe.The Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience · 2022
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Germain LefebvreMRC Brain Network Dynamics Unit, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 9DU, U.K. germain.lefebvre@outlook.com.
Christopher SummerfieldDepartment of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 9DU, U.K. christopher.summerfield@psy.ox.ac.uk.
Rafal BogaczMRC Brain Network Dynamics Unit, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 9DU, U.K. rafal.bogacz@ndcn.ox.ac.uk.

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/S006338/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_00003/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_12024/5
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Reinforcement learning involves updating estimates of the value of states and actions on the basis of experience. Previous work has shown that in humans, reinforcement learning exhibits a confirmatory bias: when the value of a chosen option is being updated, estimates are revised more radically following positive than negative reward prediction errors, but the converse is observed when updating the unchosen option value estimate. Here, we simulate performance on a multi-arm bandit task to examine the consequences of a confirmatory bias for reward harvesting. We report a paradoxical finding: that confirmatory biases allow the agent to maximize reward relative to an unbiased updating rule. This principle holds over a wide range of experimental settings and is most influential when decisions are corrupted by noise. We show that this occurs because on average, confirmatory biases lead to overestimating the value of more valuable bandits and underestimating the value of less valuable bandits, rendering decisions overall more robust in the face of noise. Our results show how apparently suboptimal learning rules can in fact be reward maximizing if decisions are made with finite computational precision.

Indexed as

LearningReinforcement, PsychologyBiasDecision MakingHumansReward

Identifiers

PMID34758486
PMCPMC7612695

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.