Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34757303›Full record

ArticleSocial science & medicine (1982)2021

Global multidimensional poverty and COVID-19: A decade of progress at risk?

Sabina Alkire, Ricardo Nogales, Natalie Naïri Quinn, Nicolai Suppa

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Social science & medicine (1982), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Proposing a New Conceptual Syndemic Framework for COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy: A Narrative Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Hydration for Clean Air TodayMolecular Frontiers journal · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Sabina AlkireOPHI, Department of International Development, University of Oxford, United Kingdom. Electronic address: sabina.alkire@qeh.ox.ac.uk.
Ricardo NogalesOPHI, Department of International Development, University of Oxford, United Kingdom; Universidad Privada Boliviana, Bolivia. Electronic address: rnogales@upb.edu.
Natalie Naïri QuinnDepartment of International Development, University of Oxford, United Kingdom. Electronic address: natalie.quinn@qeh.ox.ac.uk.
Nicolai SuppaOPHI, Department of International Development, University of Oxford, United Kingdom; Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics, Autonomous University of Barcelona, Carrer de Ca n'Altayó, Edifici E2, Cerdanyola del Vallès, Barcelona, Spain; EQUALITAS, Spain. Electronic address: nsuppa@ced.uab.es.

Funding

European Research Council
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

According to the global Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI), an internationally comparable measure, poverty in developing countries has fallen substantially over the last 15 years. The COVID-19 pandemic and associated economic contraction are negatively impacting multiple dimensions of poverty and jeopardising this progress. This paper uses recent assessments of food insecurity and school closures made by UN agencies to inform microsimulations of potential short-term impacts of the pandemic under alternative scenarios. These simulations use the nationally representative datasets underlying the 2020 update of the global MPI. Because these datasets were collected in various years before the pandemic, we develop models to translate the simulated impacts to 2020. Our approach accounts for the country-specific joint distribution of deprivations in the simulations, recent poverty reduction trends, and resulting differences in the responsiveness of the global MPI to the scenarios. Aggregating results across 70 countries that account for 89% of the global poor according to the 2020 global MPI, we find that the potential setback to multidimensional poverty reduction is between 3.6 and 9.9 years under the alternative scenarios. We argue that the extent to which such disruptions result in persistent increases of poverty and deprivations may be attenuated by appropriate policy responses.

Indexed as

COVID-19HumansPandemicsPovertySARS-CoV-2COVID-19Developing regionsEducationGlobal MPIMicrosimulationsMultidimensional povertyNutritionPoverty projections

Identifiers

PMID34757303
PMCPMC8500841

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.