ArticleComputational intelligence and neuroscience2021
Application of Improved LSTM Algorithm in Macroeconomic Forecasting.
Article in Computational intelligence and neuroscience, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It has been retracted, and should not be counted. Cited by 1 paper.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- Retracted: Application of Improved LSTM Algorithm in Macroeconomic Forecasting.Computational intelligence and neuroscience · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
- Retraction · 2023-06-28Concerns/Issues about Data · Concerns/Issues about Results and/or Conclusions · Concerns/Issues about Referencing/Attributions · Concerns/Issues about Peer Review · Investigation by Journal/Publisher · Investigation by Third Party · Computer-Aided Content or Computer-Generated Content · Unreliable Results and/or Conclusions ·
- Retracted
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
From a macro perspective, futures index of agricultural products can reflect the trend of macroeconomy and can also have an early warning effect on the possible crisis and provide a reference for the government's economic forecast and macro control. Therefore, it is necessary to strengthen the research on early warning and prediction of agricultural futures price. For the prediction of futures price, there are two kinds of common models: one is the traditional classic time series model, and the other is the neural network model under the wave of artificial intelligence. This paper selects the 1976 closing data of agricultural futures index from January 10, 2012, to February 27, 2020, and uses the time series differential autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA model) and long short-term memory model (LSTM model) to study this work, respectively, and compares the predicted effects of the two models in some metrics. Based on the predicted results of the two models, a simple trading strategy is established, and the trading effects of the two models are compared. The results show that the LSTM model has obvious advantage over ARIMA time series model in the price index prediction of agricultural futures market.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.