Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34752139›Full record

ArticleJCO clinical cancer informatics2021

Machine Learning Applied to Electronic Health Records: Identification of Chemotherapy Patients at High Risk for Preventable Emergency Department Visits and Hospital Admissions.

Dylan J Peterson, Nicolai P Ostberg, Douglas W Blayney, James D Brooks, Tina Hernandez-Boussard

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JCO clinical cancer informatics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Can prediction models for hospital readmission be improved by incorporating patient-reported outcome measures? A systematic review and narrative synthesis.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2024
    Pooled it
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  11. Secondary Neutropenias.Biomedicines · 2025
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  20. Natural Language Processing Methods to Identify Oncology Patients at High Risk for Acute Care with Clinical Notes.AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science proceedings. AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Dylan J PetersonStanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA.ORCID 0000-0003-4622-1370
Nicolai P OstbergGrossman School of Medicine, New York University, New York, NY.ORCID 0000-0002-8223-4585
Douglas W BlayneyDivision of Medical Oncology, Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-7931-4533
James D BrooksDepartment of Urology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA.ORCID 0000-0003-4521-7505
Tina Hernandez-BoussardDepartment of Medicine (Biomedical Informatics), Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-6553-3455
Stanford University · USNew York University · US

Funding

Utilizing Electronic Health Records to Measure and Improve Prostate Cancer CareR01CA183962 · NCI · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI HERNANDEZ-BOUSSARD, TINA · 2015 to 2019
$3.1M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA183962
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeAcute care use (ACU) is a major driver of oncologic costs and is penalized by a Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services quality measure, OP-35. Targeted interventions reduce preventable ACU; however, identifying which patients might benefit remains challenging. Prior predictive models have made use of a limited subset of the data in the electronic health record (EHR). We aimed to predict risk of preventable ACU after starting chemotherapy using machine learning (ML) algorithms trained on comprehensive EHR data.

methodsChemotherapy patients treated at an academic institution and affiliated community care sites between January 2013 and July 2019 who met inclusion criteria for OP-35 were identified. Preventable ACU was defined using OP-35 criteria. Structured EHR data generated before chemotherapy treatment were obtained. ML models were trained to predict risk for ACU after starting chemotherapy using 80% of the cohort. The remaining 20% were used to test model performance by the area under the receiver operator curve.

resultsEight thousand four hundred thirty-nine patients were included, of whom 35% had preventable ACU within 180 days of starting chemotherapy. Our primary model classified patients at risk for preventable ACU with an area under the receiver operator curve of 0.783 (95% CI, 0.761 to 0.806). Performance was better for identifying admissions than emergency department visits. Key variables included prior hospitalizations, cancer stage, race, laboratory values, and a diagnosis of depression. Analyses showed limited benefit from including patient-reported outcome data and indicated inequities in outcomes and risk modeling for Black and Medicaid patients.

conclusionDense EHR data can identify patients at risk for ACU using ML with promising accuracy. These models have potential to improve cancer care outcomes, patient experience, and costs by allowing for targeted, preventative interventions.

Indexed as

Electronic Health RecordsMedicareAgedEmergency Service, HospitalHospitalizationHospitalsHumansMachine LearningUnited States

Identifiers

PMID34752139
PMCPMC8807019
OpenAlexW3214177896

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.