Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34750397›Full record

ArticleNature communications2021

Estimating disease prevalence in large datasets using genetic risk scores.

Benjamin D Evans, Piotr Słowiński, Andrew T Hattersley, Samuel E Jones, Seth Sharp, Robert A Kimmitt, Michael N Weedon, Richard A Oram, Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova, Nicholas J Thomas

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Benjamin D Evans *Department of Mathematics, University of Exeter, North Park Road, Exeter, EX4 4QF, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1734-6070
Piotr Słowiński *Department of Mathematics, University of Exeter, North Park Road, Exeter, EX4 4QF, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6612-9902
Andrew T HattersleyUniversity of Exeter Medical School, Institute of Biomedical & Clinical Science, RILD Building, Royal Devon & Exeter Hospital, Barrack Road, Exeter, EX2 5DW, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5620-473X
Samuel E JonesUniversity of Exeter Medical School, Institute of Biomedical & Clinical Science, RILD Building, Royal Devon & Exeter Hospital, Barrack Road, Exeter, EX2 5DW, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0153-922X
Seth SharpUniversity of Exeter Medical School, Institute of Biomedical & Clinical Science, RILD Building, Royal Devon & Exeter Hospital, Barrack Road, Exeter, EX2 5DW, UK.
Robert A KimmittUniversity of Exeter Medical School, Institute of Biomedical & Clinical Science, RILD Building, Royal Devon & Exeter Hospital, Barrack Road, Exeter, EX2 5DW, UK.
Michael N WeedonUniversity of Exeter Medical School, Institute of Biomedical & Clinical Science, RILD Building, Royal Devon & Exeter Hospital, Barrack Road, Exeter, EX2 5DW, UK.
Richard A OramUniversity of Exeter Medical School, Institute of Biomedical & Clinical Science, RILD Building, Royal Devon & Exeter Hospital, Barrack Road, Exeter, EX2 5DW, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3581-8980
Krasimira Tsaneva-AtanasovaDepartment of Mathematics, University of Exeter, North Park Road, Exeter, EX4 4QF, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6294-7051
Nicholas J ThomasDepartment of Mathematics, University of Exeter, North Park Road, Exeter, EX4 4QF, UK. n.thomas3@exeter.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-2513-7022
University of Exeter · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_15047Wellcome Trust 204909/Z/16/ZWellcome Trust WT097835MFWellcome Trust WT204909MA
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Clinical classification is essential for estimating disease prevalence but is difficult, often requiring complex investigations. The widespread availability of population level genetic data makes novel genetic stratification techniques a highly attractive alternative. We propose a generalizable mathematical framework for determining disease prevalence within a cohort using genetic risk scores. We compare and evaluate methods based on the means of genetic risk scores' distributions; the Earth Mover's Distance between distributions; a linear combination of kernel density estimates of distributions; and an Excess method. We demonstrate the performance of genetic stratification to produce robust prevalence estimates. Specifically, we show that robust estimates of prevalence are still possible even with rarer diseases, smaller cohort sizes and less discriminative genetic risk scores, highlighting the general utility of these approaches. Genetic stratification techniques offer exciting new research tools, enabling unbiased insights into disease prevalence and clinical characteristics unhampered by clinical classification criteria.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsModels, GeneticCohort StudiesComputer SimulationDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Genetic Predisposition to DiseaseHumansMultifactorial InheritancePolymorphism, Single NucleotidePrevalenceReproducibility of ResultsRisk FactorsSensitivity and Specificity

Identifiers

PMID34750397
PMCPMC8575951
OpenAlexW3213764115

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.