Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34749885›Full record

ArticleeLife2021

Early prediction of clinical response to checkpoint inhibitor therapy in human solid tumors through mathematical modeling.

Joseph D Butner, Geoffrey V Martin, Zhihui Wang, Bruna Corradetti, Mauro Ferrari, Nestor Esnaola, Caroline Chung, David S Hong, James W Welsh, Naomi Hasegawa and 11 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Modeling combination chemo-immunotherapy for heterogeneous tumors.Quantitative biology (Beijing, China) · 2025
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Immune-checkpoint inhibitor therapy response evaluation using oncophysics-based mathematical models.Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Nanomedicine and nanobiotechnology · 2023
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors.

Joseph D Butner *Mathematics in Medicine Program, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-0608-2580
Geoffrey V Martin *Department of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, United States.
Zhihui Wang *Mathematics in Medicine Program, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-6262-700X
Bruna CorradettiDepartment of Nanomedicine, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, United States.
Mauro FerrariDepartment of Nanomedicine, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, United States.
Nestor EsnaolaDepartment of Surgery, Houston Methodist Cancer Center, Houston, United States.
Caroline ChungDepartment of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, United States.
David S HongDepartment of Investigational Cancer Therapeutics, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, United States.
James W WelshDepartment of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, United States.
Naomi HasegawaUniversity of Texas Health Science Center (UTHealth), McGovern Medical School, Houston, United States.
Elizabeth A MittendorfBreast Oncology Program, Dana Farber/Brigham and Women's Cancer Center, Boston, United States.
Steven A CurleyMichael E. DeBakey Department of Surgery, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, United States.
Shu-Hsia ChenImmunotherapy Research Center, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, United States.
Ping-Ying PanImmunotherapy Research Center, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, United States.
Steven K LibuttiRutgers Cancer Institute of New Jersey, New Brunswick, United States.
Shridar GanesanRutgers Cancer Institute of New Jersey, New Brunswick, United States.
Richard L SidmanDepartment of Neurology, Harvard Medical School, Boston, United States.
Renata PasqualiniRutgers Cancer Institute of New Jersey, Newark, United States.
Wadih ArapRutgers Cancer Institute of New Jersey, Newark, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-8686-4584
Eugene J Koay *Department of Radiation Oncology, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-7675-3461
Vittorio CristiniMathematics in Medicine Program, Houston Methodist Research Institute, Houston, United States.

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI DIANE BODURKA · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
TRANSCRIPTIONAL PROFILINGP30CA072720 · NCI · UNIV OF MED/DENT NJ-R W JOHNSON MED SCH · PI Tracie Saunders · 1997 to 2026
$94.5M
Clinical Validation Center for Early Detection of Pancreatic CancerU01CA200468 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI ANIRBAN MAITRA · 2016 to 2026
$11.0M
Transport Oncophysics CoreU54CA210181 · NCI · METHODIST HOSPITAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI SHEN, HAIFA · 2016 to 2020
$9.3M
Imaging and Molecular Correlates of Progression in Cystic Neoplasms of the PancreasU01CA196403 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI MAITRA, ANIRBAN · 2015 to 2020
$5.8M
Intervention of immune tolerance by small molecules to enhance immune therapyR01CA127483 · NCI · METHODIST HOSPITAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI CHEN, SHU-HSIA · 2008 to 2018
$3.4M
A Targeted Nanomedicine Prototype Against Enzalutamide-resistant Prostate CancerR01CA226537 · NCI · RBHS -CANCER INSTITUTE OF NEW JERSEY · PI ARAP, WADIH, BRINKER, C JEFFREY · 2018 to 2022
$3.2M
Myeloid Suppressor Cell-Mediated Immune Suppression of Tumor Specific T CellsR01CA109322 · NCI · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI CHEN, SHU-HSIA · 2006 to 2015
$3.2M
miR-155 targeted therapeutics for precision medicine in lung cancerR01CA222007 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI CALIN, GEORGE A., CRISTINI, VITTORIO · 2018 to 2022
$2.6M
Targeted therapeutics for ovarian cancer and its microenvironment - treatment and theoretical modelingU01CA213759 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI LOPEZ-BERESTEIN, GABRIEL · 2017 to 2021
$2.5M
Mechanism of Intratumoral Transport of Particulate DrugsR01CA222959 · NCI · METHODIST HOSPITAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI CHEN, SHU-HSIA, LIU, XUEWU · 2018 to 2023
$2.3M
Modulation of tumor inflammatory factor for immune therapyR01CA208703 · NCI · METHODIST HOSPITAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI CHEN, SHU-HSIA · 2017 to 2021
$2.3M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS P30 CA072720NCI NIH HHS R01 CA109322NCI NIH HHS R01 CA127483NCI NIH HHS R01 CA140243NCI NIH HHS R01 CA188610NCI NIH HHS R01 CA204191NCI NIH HHS R01 CA208703NCI NIH HHS R01 CA222007NCI NIH HHS R01 CA222959NCI NIH HHS R01 CA226537NCI NIH HHS R01 CA253865NCI NIH HHS U01 CA196403NCI NIH HHS U01 CA200468NCI NIH HHS U01 CA213759NCI NIH HHS U54 CA210181
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Checkpoint inhibitor therapy of cancer has led to markedly improved survival of a subset of patients in multiple solid malignant tumor types, yet the factors driving these clinical responses or lack thereof are not known. We have developed a mechanistic mathematical model for better understanding these factors and their relations in order to predict treatment outcome and optimize personal treatment strategies. Methods: Here, we present a translational mathematical model dependent on three key parameters for describing efficacy of checkpoint inhibitors in human cancer: tumor growth rate ( Results: The derived parameters Conclusions: These results have demonstrated reliable methods to inform model parameters directly from biopsy samples, which are conveniently obtainable as early as the start of treatment. Together, these suggest that the model parameters may serve as early and robust biomarkers of the efficacy of checkpoint inhibitor therapy on an individualized per-patient basis. Funding: We gratefully acknowledge support from the Andrew Sabin Family Fellowship, Center for Radiation Oncology Research, Sheikh Ahmed Center for Pancreatic Cancer Research, GE Healthcare, Philips Healthcare, and institutional funds from the University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center. We have also received Cancer Center Support Grants from the National Cancer Institute (P30CA016672 to the University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center and P30CA072720 the Rutgers Cancer Institute of New Jersey). This research has also been supported in part by grants from the National Science Foundation Grant DMS-1930583 (ZW, VC), the National Institutes of Health (NIH) 1R01CA253865 (ZW, VC), 1U01CA196403 (ZW, VC), 1U01CA213759 (ZW, VC), 1R01CA226537 (ZW, RP, WA, VC), 1R01CA222007 (ZW, VC), U54CA210181 (ZW, VC), and the University of Texas System STARS Award (VC). BC acknowledges support through the SER Cymru II Programme, funded by the European Commission through the Horizon 2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA) COFUND scheme and the Welsh European Funding Office (WEFO) under the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF). EK has also received support from the Project Purple, NIH (U54CA210181, U01CA200468, and U01CA196403), and the Pancreatic Cancer Action Network (16-65-SING). MF was supported through NIH/NCI center grant U54CA210181, R01CA222959, DoD Breast Cancer Research Breakthrough Level IV Award W81XWH-17-1-0389, and the Ernest Cockrell Jr. Presidential Distinguished Chair at Houston Methodist Research Institute. RP and WA received serial research awards from AngelWorks, the Gillson-Longenbaugh Foundation, and the Marcus Foundation. This work was also supported in part by grants from the National Cancer Institute to SHC (R01CA109322, R01CA127483, R01CA208703, and U54CA210181 CITO pilot grant) and to PYP (R01CA140243, R01CA188610, and U54CA210181 CITO pilot grant). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

Indexed as

HumansImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsImmunotherapyModels, TheoreticalNeoplasmsImmune Checkpoint Inhibitorsbiomarkershumanimmunotherapymedicinepatient stratificationtranslational research

Identifiers

PMID34749885
PMCPMC8629426

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.