Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34748841›Full record

ArticleThe Science of the total environment2022

Predicting COVID-19 cases in diverse population groups using SARS-CoV-2 wastewater monitoring across Oklahoma City.

Katrin Gaardbo Kuhn, Jane Jarshaw, Erin Jeffries, Kunle Adesigbin, Phil Maytubby, Nicole Dundas, A Caitlin Miller, Emily Rhodes, Bradley Stevenson, Jason Vogel and 1 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Science of the total environment, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. From Sewers to Surveillance: Monitoring Salmonella Through Wastewater.Methods in molecular biology (Clifton, N.J.) · 2027
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Katrin Gaardbo KuhnDepartment of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA. Electronic address: katrin-kuhn@ouhsc.edu.
Jane JarshawDepartment of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA.
Erin JeffriesDepartment of Microbiology & Plant Biology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, USA.
Kunle AdesigbinOklahoma City County Health Department, Oklahoma City, OK, USA.
Phil MaytubbyOklahoma City County Health Department, Oklahoma City, OK, USA.
Nicole DundasMassachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA.
A Caitlin MillerSchool of Civil Engineering and Environmental Science, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, USA.
Emily RhodesSchool of Civil Engineering and Environmental Science, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, USA.
Bradley StevensonDepartment of Microbiology & Plant Biology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, USA.
Jason VogelSchool of Civil Engineering and Environmental Science, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, USA.
Halley ReevesDepartment of Family Medicine, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City, OK, USA.
University of Oklahoma · USUniversity of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center · USOklahoma City VA Health Care System · USMassachusetts Institute of Technology · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

SARS-CoV-2 was discovered among humans in late 2019 and rapidly spread across the world. Although the virus is transmitted by respiratory droplets, most infected persons also excrete viral particles in their feces. This fact prompted a range of studies assessing the usefulness of wastewater surveillance to determine levels of infection and transmission and produce early warnings of outbreaks in local communities, independently of human testing. In this study, we collected samples of wastewater from 13 locations across Oklahoma City, representing different population types, twice per week from November 2020 to end of March 2021. Wastewater samples were collected and analyzed for the presence and concentration of SARS-CoV-2 RNA using RT-qPCR. The concentration of SARS-CoV-2 in the wastewater showed notable peaks, preceding the number of reported COVID-19 cases by an average of one week (ranging between 4 and 10 days). The early warning lead-time for an outbreak or increase in cases was significantly higher in areas with larger Hispanic populations and lower in areas with a higher household income or higher proportion of persons aged 65 years or older. Using this relationship, we predicted the number of cases with an accuracy of 81-92% compared to reported cases. These results confirm the validity and timeliness of using wastewater surveillance for monitoring local disease transmission and highlight the importance of differences in population structures when interpreting surveillance outputs and planning preventive action.

Indexed as

COVID-19HumansOklahomaPopulation GroupsRNA, ViralSARS-CoV-2WastewaterWastewater-Based Epidemiological MonitoringRNA, ViralWastewaterCOVID-19DemographyEarly warningOutbreakPredictionsWastewater

Identifiers

PMID34748841
PMCPMC8570442
OpenAlexW3213088245

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.