Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34748261›Full record

ArticleEcology letters2022

Sampling bias exaggerates a textbook example of a trophic cascade.

Elaine M Brice, Eric J Larsen, Daniel R MacNulty

Abstract readLetter
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology letters, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  8. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Elaine M BriceDepartment of Wildland Resources and Ecology Center, Utah State University, Logan, Utah, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6034-4065
Eric J LarsenDepartment of Geography and Geology, University of Wisconsin - Stevens Point, Stevens Point, Wisconsin, USA.
Daniel R MacNultyDepartment of Wildland Resources and Ecology Center, Utah State University, Logan, Utah, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9173-8910

Funding

National Science Foundation DGE-1633756University of Wyoming-National Park Service Small Grant Program 1003867-USUUtah State UniversityYellowstone National Park
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding trophic cascades in terrestrial wildlife communities is a major challenge because these systems are difficult to sample properly. We show how a tradition of non-random sampling has confounded this understanding in a textbook system (Yellowstone National Park) where carnivore [Canis lupus (wolf)] recovery is associated with a trophic cascade involving changes in herbivore [Cervus canadensis (elk)] behaviour and density that promote plant regeneration. Long-term data indicate a practice of sampling only the tallest young plants overestimated regeneration of overstory aspen (Populus tremuloides) by a factor of 4-7 compared to random sampling because it favoured plants taller than the preferred browsing height of elk and overlooked non-regenerating aspen stands. Random sampling described a trophic cascade, but it was weaker than the one that non-random sampling described. Our findings highlight the critical importance of basic sampling principles (e.g. randomisation) for achieving an accurate understanding of trophic cascades in terrestrial wildlife systems.

Indexed as

DeerPopulusWolvesAnimalsHerbivoryPredatory BehaviorSelection Biasaspencarnivoreelknon-random samplingpredator indirect effectspreferred browsing heightsampling biastrophic cascadeungulatewolf

Identifiers

PMID34748261
PMCPMC9298920

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.