Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34746898›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2022

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on paediatric health service use within one year after the first pandemic outbreak in New South Wales Australia - a time series analysis.

Nan Hu, Natasha Nassar, Jane Shrapnel, Iain Perkes, Michael Hodgins, Fenton O'Leary, Carla Trudgett, Valsamma Eapen, Sue Woolfenden, Katherine Knight and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.9field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 59 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Integrated care models for youth mental health: A systematic review and meta-analysis.The Australian and New Zealand journal of psychiatry · 2024
    Pooled it
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  19. International journal of cardiology. Congenital heart disease · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Nan HuPopulation Child Health Research Group, School of Women's and Children's Health, UNSW Sydney, Australia.
Natasha NassarChild Population and Translational Health Research, The University of Sydney Children's Hospital Westmead Clinical School, Australia.
Jane ShrapnelStrategy and Innovation, Sydney Children's Hospitals Network, Australia.
Iain PerkesSchool of Women's and Children's Health, UNSW Sydney, Australia.
Michael HodginsPopulation Child Health Research Group, School of Women's and Children's Health, UNSW Sydney, Australia.
Fenton O'LearyThe University of Sydney Children's Hospital Westmead Clinical School, Australia.
Carla TrudgettDepartment of Psychological Medicine, Sydney Children's Hospitals Network, Australia.
Valsamma EapenAcademic Unit of Child Psychiatry South West Sydney, School of Psychiatry, UNSW Sydney.
Sue WoolfendenPopulation Child Health Research Group, School of Women's and Children's Health, UNSW Sydney, Australia.
Katherine KnightDepartment of Psychological Medicine, Sydney Children's Hospitals Network, Australia.
Raghu LingamPopulation Child Health Research Group, School of Women's and Children's Health, UNSW Sydney, Australia.
UNSW Sydney · AUThe University of Sydney · AUSydney Children’s Hospitals Network · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic hit New South Wales (NSW) Australia in early 2020, followed by a sharp state-wide lockdown from mid-March to mid-May. After the lockdown, there had been a low level of community transmission of COVID-19 over a year. Such pandemic experiences provide unique opportunity to understand the impact of the pandemic on paediatric health service use as countries emerge from the pandemic.

methodsWe examined the difference between the observed and the predicted numbers of inpatient admissions and emergency department (ED) attendances, respectively, related to chronic, acute infectious and injury conditions, for each month during the COVID-19 period (January 2020-February 2021), based on the numbers from 2016 to 2019, using records from two major paediatric hospitals in NSW. All analyses were conducted using autoregressive error models and were stratified by patient age, sex and socioeconomic status.

findingsHealth service use was significantly lower than predicted for admissions and/or ED attendances related to chronic conditions, acute infections, and injury during the lockdown in 2020. Change in health service use varied by chronic conditions, from the largest decrease for respiratory conditions (40-78%) to non-significant change for cancer and mental health disorders. After the lockdown, health service use for most health conditions returned to pre-COVID-19 predicted levels. However, for mental health disorders, increased health service use persisted from June 2020 up to February 2021 by 30-55%, with higher increase among girls aged 12-17 years and those from socioeconomically advantaged areas. There was persistently lower health service use for acute infections and increased health service use for injuries. Differences by socio-demographic factors were noted for mental health disorders and injuries.

interpretationThe immediate return to pre-COVID-19 levels for most chronic conditions after the first lockdown in NSW highlights the healthcare needs for children affected by chronic conditions. Persistently lower health service use for acute infections is likely attributable to the decreased social contact. Sustained and targeted mental health support is essential to address the potentially increased demand for services among children during and beyond the pandemic.

fundingFinancial Markets Foundation for Children Chair (RL, NN)

Indexed as

Acute infectious conditionsChronic health conditionCOVID-19InjuryMental healthPaediatric health service

Identifiers

PMID34746898
PMCPMC8564784
OpenAlexW3208266232

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.